Malaga sit 18th in the La Liga on 3 points from 5 matches, having scored 2 and conceded 8. The model rates their attack at 0.80× the league average and their defence at 0.91× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 draws and 2 defeats, most recently drawing with Celta Vigo 1-1 away. That is 0.60 points a match, scoring 0.40 and conceding 1.60 per game across 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. That leaves them 15 points behind Barcelona at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 18th-best attack and the 8th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 3 clean sheets. Next they host Villarreal in the La Liga on 17 September 2026, a match the model gives them 36%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | +22 | 18 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Alaves | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | Deportivo La Coruna | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 | Espanyol | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Getafe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Malaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Elche | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 2 |
Malaga sit 18 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D1-1away to Celta Vigo13 September 2026
- D0-0Levante6 September 2026
- L0-4away to Real Madrid30 August 2026
- D1-1Deportivo La Coruna24 August 2026
- L0-2away to Atletico Madrid19 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Malaga vs Villarreal
Malaga host Villarreal at Estadio La Rosaleda, Malaga on 17 September 2026, 19:30 UTC. The model makes it 36% Malaga, 30% draw and 34% Villarreal, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.26 expected goals for Malaga against 1.21. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Full preview and model analysis for Malaga vs Villarreal
Recent meetings with Villarreal
- 1 April 2018Malaga 1–0 VillarrealLa Liga
- 5 November 2017Villarreal 2–0 MalagaLa Liga
- 12 February 2017Villarreal 1–1 MalagaLa Liga
- 10 September 2016Malaga 0–2 VillarrealLa Liga
- 13 February 2016Villarreal 1–0 MalagaLa Liga
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.