Górnik Łęczna vs GKS Katowice Cup prediction & result
Final score: Górnik Łęczna 1-0 GKS Katowice.
Before kick-off the model made it 16% Górnik Łęczna, 22% draw, 62% GKS Katowice — fair odds of 6.25, 4.55 and 1.61.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
GKS Katowice at 62%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 99K. Wilk
- 25K. Radkowski
- 74K. Kruk
- 27G. Rogala
- 16M. Walski
- 30B. Akhmedov
- 11D. Tkacz
- 23K. Turek
- 38J. Myszor
- 29H. Antkowiak
- 17F. Janaszek
- 1A. Matysek
- 5R. Kobryn
- 88O. Osipiuk
- 40E. Stadnicki
- 8W. Niewiarowski
- 10A. Deja
- 77I. Swierkot
- 7B. Korbecki
- 19S. Quainoo
- 1M. Kikolski
- 14M. Olsen
- 6L. Klemenz
- 4A. Jedrych
- 97E. Jirka
- 68B. Wolski
- 22S. Milewski
- 7M. Wdowiak
- 10M. Wedrychowski
- 17I. Shkurin
- 27B. Nowak
- 87G. Kobylak
- 8B. Galan
- 19K. Lukasiak
- 21J. Kokosinski
- 23M. Wasielewski
- 26D. Rasak
- 30A. Czerwinski
- 31S. Bartlewicz
- 77M. Kowalczyk
Form going into Górnik Łęczna vs GKS Katowice
Górnik Łęczna
No earlier matches on record this season.
GKS Katowice
Ekstraklasa
- L0-1away to Korona Kielce24 October 2026
- L0-1Pogon Szczecin17 October 2026
- W2-1Wieczysta Kraków12 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Górnik Łęczna vs GKS Katowice
- 25 April 2024GKS Katowice 0–0 Górnik ŁęcznaI Liga
- 22 October 2023Górnik Łęczna 1–1 GKS KatowiceI Liga
- 15 April 2023GKS Katowice 2–0 Górnik ŁęcznaI Liga
- 10 September 2022Górnik Łęczna 2–2 GKS KatowiceI Liga
- 3 June 2020GKS Katowice 2–1 Górnik ŁęcznaII Liga - East
- 25 August 2019Górnik Łęczna 1–0 GKS KatowiceII Liga - East
Leading scorers: Górnik Łęczna and GKS Katowice
Górnik Łęczna
No leading scorers listed yet.
GKS Katowice
GoalsAssists
- I. Shkurin82
- B. Nowak78
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Górnik Łęczna beat GKS Katowice 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for GKS Katowice at 62% and given a win for Górnik Łęczna 16%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goal: D. Tkacz 32' for Górnik Łęczna.
How the call on Górnik Łęczna v GKS Katowice has moved
First published on 14 Oct at 15% / 20% / 65% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 16% / 22% / 62%: the biggest move is GKS Katowice's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Górnik Łęczna win16%▲ +1
- Draw22%▲ +2
- GKS Katowice win62%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.