Znicz Pruszków vs Ruch Chorzów Cup prediction & result
Final score: Znicz Pruszków 0-1 Ruch Chorzów.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Znicz Pruszków, 27% draw, 43% Ruch Chorzów — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Ruch Chorzów at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Znicz Pruszków vs Ruch Chorzów
Znicz Pruszków
No earlier matches on record this season.
Ruch Chorzów
I Liga
- W2-0Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki25 October 2026
- W3-0Odra Opole16 October 2026
- W2-0away to ŁKS Łódź11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Znicz Pruszków vs Ruch Chorzów
- 24 May 2026Znicz Pruszków 3–2 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
- 23 November 2025Ruch Chorzów 1–2 Znicz PruszkówI Liga
- 8 December 2024Znicz Pruszków 2–3 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
- 28 July 2024Ruch Chorzów 0–0 Znicz PruszkówI Liga
- 26 July 2022Ruch Chorzów 2–0 Znicz PruszkówCup
- 1 May 2022Ruch Chorzów 0–0 Znicz PruszkówII Liga - East
The result against the call
Ruch Chorzów won 1–0 at Znicz Pruszków. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Ruch Chorzów at 43%. The goal: M. Chrapek 64' for Ruch Chorzów.
How the call on Znicz Pruszków v Ruch Chorzów has moved
First published on 14 Oct at 33% / 28% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 30% / 27% / 43%: the biggest move is Ruch Chorzów's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Znicz Pruszków win30%▼ −3
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Ruch Chorzów win43%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.