27 October 2026, 16:30 UTC

Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa Cup prediction & result

Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
Referee: P. Raczkowski
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Motor Lublin 1-1 Raków Częstochowa.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Motor Lublin, 25% draw, 31% Raków Częstochowa — fair odds of 2.27, 4.00 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Motor Lublin at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
E. Otieno
18'
N. Zatterstrom
⚽M. Ndiaye (pen)
51'
55'
O. Repka
61'
🔁E. Otienoout: J. Jendryka
61'
🔁O. Kwiatkowskiout: L. Diaby-Fadiga
🔁Fabio Ronaldoout: M. Aiko
71'
🔁Rony Lopesout: Kikis
71'
B. Bereszynski
74'
🔁T. Santosout: K. Lukoszek
78'
82'
🔁M. Emreliout: A. Basse
82'
🔁N. Zatterstromout: T. Pienko
🔁F. Lubereckiout: P. Meyer
85'
🔁M. Ndiayeout: M. Bartos
85'
B. Bereszynski
90+2'
90+4'
⚽L. Diaby-Fadiga
91'
🔁K. Trelowskiout: T. Karic
🔁K. Czubakout: A. Tall
91'
120+1'
⚽L. Diaby-Fadiga (pen)
⚽Y. Bourhane (pen)
120+1'
120+2'
⚽T. Pienko (pen)
⚽K. Lukoszek (pen)
120+2'
120+3'
⚽V. Kochergin (pen)
⚽P. Meyer (pen)
120+3'
120+4'
⚽B. Racovitan (pen)
⚽M. Aiko (pen)
120+4'

Line-ups

Motor Lublin
  • 71M. Popa
  • 27Y. Bourhane
  • 18B. Bereszynski
  • 4T. Plavotic
  • 29T. Santos
  • 9Rony Lopes
  • 6M. Legowski
  • 24F. Luberecki
  • 30M. Ndiaye
  • 11Fabio Ronaldo
  • 10K. Czubak
Substitutes
  • 33G. Tratnik
  • 2P. Meyer
  • 8Kikis
  • 17K. Lukoszek
  • 39M. Bartos
  • 47A. Tall
  • 70M. Aiko
  • 77M. Posmyk
  • 90D. Gregorski
Coach: Mariusz Misiura
Raków Częstochowa
  • 1K. Trelowski
  • 25B. Racovitan
  • 6O. Repka
  • 19N. Zatterstrom
  • 20J. C. Silva
  • 23K. Struski
  • 10V. Kochergin
  • 26E. Otieno
  • 9P. Makuch
  • 11M. Emreli
  • 15O. Kwiatkowski
Substitutes
  • 71T. Karic
  • 3A. Brorsson
  • 5M. Bulat
  • 17J. Jendryka
  • 4S. Svarnas
  • 21T. Pienko
  • 39I. Brusberg
  • 80L. Diaby-Fadiga
  • 99A. Basse
Coach: David Szulczek

Form going into Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa

Motor Lublin

Ekstraklasa

  • D2-2Zaglebie Lubin23 October 2026
  • W3-2Slask Wroclaw17 October 2026
  • W3-2away to Radomiak Radom12 October 2026

Raków Częstochowa

Ekstraklasa

  • L1-2away to Wisla Krakow24 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Wieczysta Kraków16 October 2026
  • L1-4GKS Katowice9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Motor Lublin145452224-219
16Raków Częstochowa1440102331-812

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa

  • 11 September 2026Raków Częstochowa 2–1 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
  • 12 April 2026Motor Lublin 1–1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
  • 5 October 2025Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
  • 7 December 2024Raków Częstochowa 2–2 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
  • 21 July 2024Motor Lublin 0–2 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
  • 1 March 2023Motor Lublin 0–3 Raków CzęstochowaCup

Leading scorers: Motor Lublin and Raków Częstochowa

Motor Lublin

GoalsAssists

  • K. Czubak70
  • M. Ndiaye43

Raków Częstochowa

GoalsAssists

  • P. Makuch81

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Motor Lublin and Raków Częstochowa drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Motor Lublin at 44% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. Sent off: B. Bereszynski (Motor Lublin) 90+2'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.