Daejeon Citizen vs Vissel Kobe AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Daejeon Citizen 0-1 Vissel Kobe.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Daejeon Citizen, 24% draw, 29% Vissel Kobe — fair odds of 2.13, 4.17 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Daejeon Citizen at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Daejeon Citizen vs Vissel Kobe
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Lee Chang-GeunG
- 33Kim Moon-HwanD
- 4Jo Seong-KwonD
- 98A. KrivotsyukD
- 16Lee Myung-JaeD
- 30Kim Bong-SooM
- 44Lee Soon-MinM
- 27Jeong Jae-HeeM
- 14Kim Jun-BumM
- 77João VictorM
- 9Diogo de OliveiraF
- 10Joo Min-KyuF
- 13Kim Jin-YaD
- 3Kim Min-DukD
- 31Kim Min-SooG
- 25Lee Jun-SeoG
- 17G. LudwigsonM
- 41Park Byung-chanM
- 2Park Kyu-HyunD
- 19Seo Jin-SuF
- 71S. GondaG
- 24G. SakaiD
- 4T. YamakawaD
- 31T. IwanamiD
- 41K. NagatoD
- 20K. WatanabeM
- 25Y. KuwasakiM
- 5Y. GokeM
- 44M. HidakaF
- 29R. KomatsuF
- 26Jean PatrickF
- 1D. MaekawaG
- 62H. KawabataF
- 7Y. IdeguchiM
- 15DiegoD
- 16CaetanoD
- 21S. AraiG
- 11Y. MutoF
- 43K. YamadaD
- 61R. IuchiM
Form going into Daejeon Citizen vs Vissel Kobe
Daejeon Citizen
AFC Champions League Elite
- D1-1away to SHANGHAI SIPG13 October 2026
- W1-0Kyoto Sanga15 September 2026
Vissel Kobe
AFC Champions League Elite
- W2-0Jeonbuk Motors14 October 2026
- W2-1away to Port FC16 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Daejeon Citizen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Vissel Kobe won 1–0 at Daejeon Citizen. The model had leaned towards a win for Daejeon Citizen at 47% and given a win for Vissel Kobe 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Ren Komatsu 83' for Vissel Kobe. On expected goals it finished 0.94–0.52.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.