Göztepe vs Rizespor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Göztepe 2-2 Rizespor.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Göztepe, 25% draw, 42% Rizespor — fair odds of 3.03, 4.00 and 2.38.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Rizespor at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Göztepe vs Rizespor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Arda ÖzçimenG
- 4Taha AltıkardeşD
- 13Ege YildirimD
- 26Malcom BokeleD
- 2Arda KurtulanM
- 6Alex MatosM
- 5RhaldneyM
- 12Richard AkonnorM
- 7André HenriqueF
- 39JandersonF
- 9Juan Santos da SilvaF
- 18Tino AnjorinM
- 10Efkan BekiroğluM
- 33Mehmet Şamil ÖztürkG
- 8Alexis AntunesM
- 22Sinclair ArmstrongF
- 14Bekir Turaç BökeF
- 75Yahia FofanaG
- 37Taha ŞahinD
- 5Tayyip Talha SanuçD
- 4Attila MocsiD
- 93Modibo SagnanD
- 54Mithat PalaD
- 10Ibrahim OlawoyinM
- 14Taylan AntalyalıM
- 20Qazim LaciM
- 9Ali SoweF
- 99Emrecan BulutF
- 17Zakaria ArissD
- 23Ahmed KutucuF
- 79Iustin DoicaruF
- 70Can BozdoğanM
- 30Zafer GörgenG
- 21Siaka BakayokoD
- 6Moussa DiakitéM
- 8Dal VarešanovićM
- 11Adedire MebudeF
Form going into Göztepe vs Rizespor
Göztepe
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Alanyaspor12 September 2026
- L2-4Gaziantep FK7 September 2026
- L2-3away to Galatasaray29 August 2026
- L0-1Gençlerbirliği S.K.23 August 2026
- D3-3away to Samsunspor17 August 2026
Rizespor
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Eyüpspor12 September 2026
- L0-1Alanyaspor7 September 2026
- W2-1away to Gaziantep FK29 August 2026
- L0-2Samsunspor22 August 2026
- W1-0away to Konyaspor15 August 2026
What these results say
- Göztepe did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Göztepe conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Göztepe scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Rizespor had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Göztepe | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 15 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Göztepe vs Rizespor
- 19 January 2026Göztepe 3–1 RizesporSüper Lig
- 10 August 2025Rizespor 0–3 GöztepeSüper Lig
- 18 May 2025Rizespor 6–3 GöztepeSüper Lig
- 22 December 2024Göztepe 3–0 RizesporSüper Lig
- 16 May 2023Göztepe 3–3 Rizespor1. Lig
Leading scorers: Göztepe and Rizespor
Göztepe
GoalsAssists
- Juan71
- André Henrique41
Rizespor
GoalsAssists
- A. Sowe40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Göztepe and Rizespor drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Rizespor at 42% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: A. Kurtulan 2' for Göztepe, I. Olawoyin 70' for Rizespor, I. Doicaru 81' for Rizespor, E. Bekiroglu (penalty) 90+3' for Göztepe. On expected goals it finished 1.87–0.69.
How the call on Göztepe v Rizespor has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 43% / 27% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 11 updates, it read 33% / 25% / 42%: the biggest move is Rizespor's chance of winning, up 12 points.
- Göztepe win33%▼ −10
- Draw25%▼ −2
- Rizespor win42%▲ +12
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.