Groningen vs Emmen KNVB Beker prediction & result
Final score: Groningen 0-2 Emmen.
Before kick-off the model made it 69% Groningen, 19% draw, 12% Emmen — fair odds of 1.45, 5.26 and 8.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Groningen at 69%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Groningen vs Emmen
Line-ups
- 1Etienne VaessenG
- 14Jorg SchreudersD
- 3Thijmen BlokzijlD
- 4Márk CsingerD
- 2Wouter PrinsD
- 18Tygo LandM
- 24Pelle ClementM
- 17David van der WerffM
- 26Thom van BergenM
- 11Jacob OndrejkaM
- 9Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonF
- 33Hans HateboerD
- 5Marco RenteD
- 7Travis HernesM
- 19Oskar ZawadaF
- 8Tika de JongeM
- 13Lovro ŠtubljarG
- 30Pelle BoevinkG
- 42Jesper MosselaarD
- 12Nikolas BrandisD
- 33Kelle RoosG
- 24Luca EverinkD
- 25Rodney KongoloD
- 3Yanis Dede-LhommeD
- 17Bryan Van HoveD
- 21Alessandro HojabrpourM
- 7Torben RheinM
- 40Sybrand VeldhuisM
- 23Daan LambersM
- 22Michael BreijM
- 9Jack Cooper LoveF
- 4Christian ØstergaardD
- 14Stan van ManenF
- 15Chiel SunderM
- 18Vincent CarusD
- 38Kevin NorderG
- 1Sam KarssiesG
- 2Joshua MukehD
- 10Mustafa AbdullatifM
- 8Luca DenkM
Form going into Groningen vs Emmen
Groningen
Eredivisie
- D2-2away to NEC Nijmegen25 October 2026
- L2-5Ajax18 October 2026
- W5-1away to Excelsior11 October 2026
Emmen
Eerste Divisie
- W2-0away to Vitesse23 October 2026
- W2-1Almere City FC17 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Groningen and Emmen in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Groningen | Eredivisie | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 28 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 | Emmen | Eerste Divisie | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 25 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Eredivisie · Eerste Divisie
Head-to-head: Groningen vs Emmen
- 11 July 2026Groningen 3–2 EmmenFriendlies Clubs
- 20 July 2024Groningen 3–2 EmmenFriendlies Clubs
- 1 April 2024Emmen 0–3 GroningenEerste Divisie
- 23 October 2023Groningen 0–0 EmmenEerste Divisie
- 29 July 2023Groningen 1–1 EmmenFriendlies Clubs
- 18 February 2023Groningen 1–1 EmmenEredivisie
Leading scorers: Groningen and Emmen
Groningen
GoalsAssists
- B. Willumsson91
- T. van Bergen83
Emmen
GoalsAssists
- J. Cooper113
- F. Quispel72
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Emmen won 2–0 at Groningen. The model had leaned towards a win for Groningen at 69% and given a win for Emmen 12%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 8 matches like this one. The goals: Jack Cooper Love 10' for Emmen, Jack Cooper Love 55' for Emmen.
How the call on Groningen v Emmen has moved
First published on 15 Oct at 73% / 17% / 10% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 69% / 19% / 12%: the biggest move is Groningen's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Groningen win69%▼ −4
- Draw19%▲ +2
- Emmen win12%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.