PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS KNVB Beker prediction & result
Final score: PEC Zwolle 1-2 FC OSS.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% PEC Zwolle, 25% draw, 20% FC OSS — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
PEC Zwolle at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS
Line-ups
- 16Tom de GraaffG
- 3Olivier AertssenD
- 28Simon GravesD
- 24Nick ViergeverD
- 33Damian van der HaarD
- 30Ryan ThomasM
- 8Tobias SommerM
- 7Younes NamliM
- 25Thijs OostingM
- 11Dylan MbayoM
- 10Koen KostonsF
- 37Gilles van der WalM
- 34Nick FichtingerM
- 9Elias SørensenF
- 41Duke VerduinG
- 1Jasper SchendelaarG
- 43Torben BosD
- 42Dylan RuwardD
- 6Jan BürgerD
- 4Tijs VelthuisD
- 1Mike HavekotteG
- 21Thomas CoxD
- 3Leonel MiguelD
- 23Delano VianelloD
- 26Julian KuijpersD
- 10Richard van der VenneM
- 5Jafar BynoeM
- 28Lars MolM
- 27Maurilio de LannoyF
- 9Andy VisserF
- 17Mauresmo HinokeF
- 12Alvaro HenryD
- 99Siriné DoucouréF
- 6Milo HoremansM
- 30Sven JansenG
- 24Jay KuiperD
- 14Maxim MarianiD
- 2Ilounga PataD
- 4Quint JansenD
- 8Marcelencio EsajasM
Form going into PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie
- D1-1away to Utrecht24 October 2026
- W4-1GO Ahead Eagles18 October 2026
- L0-1Cambuur11 October 2026
FC OSS
Eerste Divisie
- D3-3Jong Ajax23 October 2026
- L1-2away to Den Bosch16 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
PEC Zwolle and FC OSS in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 17 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Eredivisie · Eerste Divisie
Head-to-head: PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS
- 27 January 2023PEC Zwolle 4–1 FC OSSEerste Divisie
- 4 November 2022FC OSS 0–5 PEC ZwolleEerste Divisie
Leading scorers: PEC Zwolle and FC OSS
PEC Zwolle
No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
FC OSS
GoalsAssists
- M. Hinoke60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC OSS won 2–1 at PEC Zwolle. The model had leaned towards a win for PEC Zwolle at 55% and given a win for FC OSS 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: L. Mol (own goal) 18' for PEC Zwolle, D. Vianello 34' for FC OSS, M. Hinoke 50' for FC OSS.
How the call on PEC Zwolle v FC OSS has moved
First published on 14 Oct at 48% / 28% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 55% / 25% / 20%: the biggest move is PEC Zwolle's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- PEC Zwolle win55%▲ +7
- Draw25%▼ −3
- FC OSS win20%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.