Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard KNVB Beker prediction & result
Final score: Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 Fortuna Sittard.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Sparta Rotterdam, 28% draw, 35% Fortuna Sittard — fair odds of 2.70, 3.57 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published
Has the model earned this number?
Sparta Rotterdam at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard
Line-ups
- 1Filip BednarekG
- 2Lushendry Edward MartesD
- 3Marvin YoungD
- 4Nick VerschurenD
- 5Bas KuipersD
- 6Julian BaasM
- 8Teo QuinteroM
- 7Mitchell Van BergenM
- 10Robin van CruijsenM
- 11Isaac BabadiM
- 9Milan ZonneveldF
- 12Boyd ReithD
- 17Casper TerhoF
- 18Cedric HatenboerM
- 19Andrej KostićF
- 22Joel IdehoF
- 16Alwande RoaldsoyM
- 30Pascal KuiperG
- 20Michael BrouwerG
- 15Giannino VianelloD
- 31Mattijs BranderhorstG
- 3Rodrigo GuthD
- 6Syb Van OtteleD
- 28Justin HubnerD
- 2Siebe WylinM
- 23Philip BrittijnM
- 24Daley SinkgravenM
- 8Jasper DahlhausM
- 14Sven SimonsF
- 25Lequincio ZeefuikF
- 7Kristoffer PetersonF
- 9Anthony DescotteF
- 15Nick de GrootD
- 22Shiloh 't ZandM
- 4Iván MárquezD
- 38Moussa GbemouM
- 35Kevin van BurgstedenM
- 39Ganni BuyukhanM
- 33Kaylen ReitmaierG
- 1Luuk KoopmansG
Form going into Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
Eredivisie
- L1-2Ajax25 October 2026
- W3-2Willem II17 October 2026
- D3-3away to GO Ahead Eagles10 October 2026
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie
- W1-0Excelsior25 October 2026
- D2-2away to NEC Nijmegen18 October 2026
- D1-1Twente10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 12 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard and Sparta Rotterdam have met 7 times in the records we hold, Sparta Rotterdam has won 3 of them to Fortuna Sittard's 0, with 4 drawn.
The record
They drew 2–2 at Sparta Rotterdam on 28 Oct 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 6 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 21 goals, an average of 3.00 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 28 Oct 2026
KNVB BekerSparta Rotterdam 2–2 Fortuna Sittard - 7 Feb 2026
EredivisieFortuna Sittard 2–2 Sparta Rotterdam - 22 Nov 2025
EredivisieSparta Rotterdam 1–1 Fortuna Sittard - 29 Mar 2025
EredivisieFortuna Sittard 0–3 Sparta Rotterdam - 28 Sep 2024
EredivisieSparta Rotterdam 1–1 Fortuna Sittard - 30 Mar 2024
EredivisieSparta Rotterdam 4–0 Fortuna Sittard - 13 Jan 2024
EredivisieFortuna Sittard 0–2 Sparta Rotterdam
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Fortuna Sittard's attack rates 3% above Sparta Rotterdam's, and Fortuna Sittard concede 21% fewer than Sparta Rotterdam. That gives Fortuna Sittard the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 0.76 | 1.11 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 0.74 | 1.41 |
Leading scorers: Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
GoalsAssists
- M. Zonneveld72
Fortuna Sittard
No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Sparta Rotterdam at 37% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
How the call on Sparta Rotterdam v Fortuna Sittard has moved
First published on 14 Oct at 39% / 27% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 37% / 28% / 35%: the biggest move is Sparta Rotterdam's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Sparta Rotterdam win37%▼ −2
- Draw28%▲ +1
- Fortuna Sittard win35%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.