28 October 2026, 19:00 UTC

VVV Venlo vs Vitesse KNVB Beker prediction & result

Seacon - De Koel, Venlo
Referee: I. Oostrom
Full time0 – 2

Final score: VVV Venlo 0-2 Vitesse.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% VVV Venlo, 27% draw, 25% Vitesse — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

VVV Venlo at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

VVV Venlo0%Draw1%Vitesse99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

G. Blancquart
22'
31'
⚽E. Probstassist: N. Bannis
L. de Blok
44'
45'
⚽N. Bannis (pen)
45'
N. Bannis
L. Gorlich
45+1'
46'
🔁X. Thenuout: C. Olde Keizer
47'
A. Buttner
51'
A. Sellouf
🔁A. Verstraetenout: R. Vullers
60'
🔁A. Raisout: T. Janssen
60'
67'
N. Markelo
72'
🔁A. Buttnerout: P. Dahbo
🔁L. G. Schmidtout: M. Tsigkas
72'
72'
🔁F. de Carvalhoout: S. Bonnah
🔁L. de Blokout: D. Hendrix
72'
🔁T. Joostenout: T. Schenkhuizen
72'
N. Ait Mouhou
79'
83'
🔁N. Bannisout: K. te Veluwe
84'
M. Schikora
90+1'
🔁E. Probstout: M. Marschalk
M. Odriss
90+2'
90+4'
C. Olde Keizer

Match stats — VVV Venlo vs Vitesse

51%Possession49%
11Shots14
4On target4
8Corners4

Line-ups

VVV Venlo 4-2-3-1
  • 1Trevor Iriving DoornbuschG
  • 21Luis GörlichD
  • 33Gabin BlancquartD
  • 15Tijn JoostenD
  • 5Lars de BlokD
  • 6Andreas VerstraetenM
  • 8Ismail Oulad M'HandM
  • 34Amir RaisM
  • 24Mohammed OdrissM
  • 11Nassim Ait MouhouM
  • 17Leon Gino SchmidtF
Substitutes
  • 22Zidane TaylanG
  • 13Youri SchoonderwaldtG
  • 31Michael DavisD
  • 35Yousri El AnbriM
  • 38Tristan SchenkhuizenM
  • 14Raf VullersM
  • 9Matthaios TsigkasF
  • 19Thomas JanssenF
  • 43Devy HendrixF
Vitesse 4-3-1-2
  • 31Maximilian BrüllG
  • 24Nathan MarkeloD
  • 17Valon ZumberiD
  • 14Omar AchouitarD
  • 22Xiamaro ThenuD
  • 20Filipe de FerreiraM
  • 6Marco SchikoraM
  • 28Alexander BüttnerM
  • 21Ayman SelloufM
  • 9Naoufal BannisF
  • 27Eduard ProbstF
Substitutes
  • 43Chiel Olde KeizerD
  • 25Tyrick BodakG
  • 23Jayden SieckerG
  • 15Luuk WoutersD
  • 2Solomon BonnahD
  • 55Marcus SteffenD
  • 16Pontus DahboM
  • 34Youssef OuallilM
  • 7Nino ZonneveldF

Form going into VVV Venlo vs Vitesse

VVV Venlo

Eerste Divisie

  • W4-2away to Dordrecht24 October 2026
  • D4-4Jong AZ16 October 2026

Vitesse

Eerste Divisie

  • L0-2Emmen23 October 2026
  • W1-0away to FC Eindhoven16 October 2026
  • L0-2away to FC Volendam9 October 2026
  • D2-2NAC Breda3 October 2026

What these results say

  • Vitesse failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Vitesse conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Vitesse had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3VVV Venlo159243824+1429
11Vitesse135351718-118

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: VVV Venlo vs Vitesse

  • 14 February 2026Vitesse 2–2 VVV VenloEerste Divisie
  • 31 October 2025VVV Venlo 1–2 VitesseEerste Divisie
  • 12 January 2025Vitesse 1–4 VVV VenloEerste Divisie
  • 16 August 2024VVV Venlo 0–1 VitesseEerste Divisie
  • 22 July 2022Vitesse 2–2 VVV VenloFriendlies Clubs
  • 2 March 2021Vitesse 2–0 VVV VenloKNVB Beker

Leading scorers: VVV Venlo and Vitesse

VVV Venlo

GoalsAssists

  • É. Clancy51
  • L. Schmidt51

Vitesse

GoalsAssists

  • N. Bannis103

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Vitesse won 2–0 at VVV Venlo. The model had leaned towards a win for VVV Venlo at 48% and given a win for Vitesse 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: E. Probst 31' for Vitesse, N. Bannis (penalty) 45' for Vitesse. Sent off: M. Odriss (VVV Venlo) 90+2', C. Olde Keizer (Vitesse) 90+4'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.