Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Houston Dynamo 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Houston Dynamo, 23% draw, 22% Los Angeles Galaxy — fair odds of 1.82, 4.35 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Houston Dynamo at 55% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo
- W2-0away to New England Revolution8 August 2026
- W2-0away to Sporting Kansas City2 August 2026
- W3-0Austin26 July 2026
- D1-1DC United23 July 2026
Los Angeles Galaxy
- D0-0FC Dallas2 August 2026
- D1-1away to San Jose Earthquakes26 July 2026
- L1-3St. Louis City23 July 2026
- L0-3Los Angeles FC18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 43 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy
- 24 May 2026Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- 7 September 2025Houston Dynamo 1–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 13 April 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- 20 October 2024Houston Dynamo 2–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 26 May 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- 3 September 2023Los Angeles Galaxy 0–0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo
- Guilherme13 goals6 assists
Los Angeles Galaxy
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.