Los Angeles FC vs San Diego Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Los Angeles FC 0-1 San Diego.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Los Angeles FC, 25% draw, 31% San Diego — fair odds of 2.27, 4.00 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Los Angeles FC at 44% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Los Angeles FC vs San Diego
Los Angeles FC
- D1-1away to Vancouver Whitecaps1 August 2026
- W4-0Sporting Kansas City26 July 2026
- W3-1Real Salt Lake23 July 2026
- W3-0away to Los Angeles Galaxy18 July 2026
San Diego
- D1-1away to Minnesota United FC2 August 2026
- W1-0FC Dallas26 July 2026
- L0-1away to Colorado Rapids23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 27 | +14 | 40 |
| 9 | San Diego | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Los Angeles FC vs San Diego
- 3 May 2026San Diego 2–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 1 September 2025Los Angeles FC 1–2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- 30 March 2025San Diego 3–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Los Angeles FC and San Diego
Los Angeles FC
- D. Bouanga13 goals5 assists
San Diego
- M. Ingvartsen11 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.