Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Real Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Real Salt Lake, 27% draw, 32% Minnesota United FC — fair odds of 2.44, 3.70 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Real Salt Lake at 41% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
- D1-1away to St. Louis City2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Portland Timbers26 July 2026
- L1-3away to Los Angeles FC23 July 2026
Minnesota United FC
- D1-1San Diego2 August 2026
- D0-0Vancouver Whitecaps26 July 2026
- L1-2away to Sporting Kansas City23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 29 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC
- 23 May 2026Minnesota United FC 1–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 24 August 2025Real Salt Lake 1–3 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- 30 March 2025Minnesota United FC 2–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 28 January 2025Real Salt Lake 1–1 Minnesota United FCFriendlies Clubs
- 3 November 2024Minnesota United FC 1–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 37 league goals as a side.
Minnesota United FC
- K. Yeboah13 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.