13 September 2026, 12:00 UTC

IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF Allsvenskan prediction & result

Borås Arena, Boras
Full time1 – 0

Final score: IF Elfsborg 1-0 Kalmar FF.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% IF Elfsborg, 28% draw, 21% Kalmar FF — fair odds of 1.96, 3.57 and 4.76.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

IF Elfsborg at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

IF Elfsborg98%Draw2%Kalmar FF0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

26'
Marius Soderback
⚽Momoh Ibrahim Kamaraassist: Leo Hakan Ostman
51'
57'
🔁Malcolm Stoltout: Eskild Dall
57'
🔁Abdussalam Magashyout: Nassef Chourak
🔁Arbër Zeneliout: Ari Sigurpalsson
69'
69'
🔁Tobias Lauritsenout: Melker Hallberg
69'
🔁Marius Soderbackout: Noah Shamoun
🔁Simon Olssonout: Ossian nordvall
78'
🔁Momoh Ibrahim Kamaraout: Per Frick
88'
🔁Julius Beckout: Viggo Elfstrom
88'
88'
🔁Victor Larssonout: Alexander Almqvist

Match stats — IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF

49%Possession51%
12Shots16
5On target3
3Corners6

Line-ups

IF Elfsborg 4-2-3-1
  • 31I. PetterssonG
  • 16A. JensenD
  • 6R. WikströmD
  • 4T. IsherwoodD
  • 23N. HultD
  • 18J. MagnússonM
  • 10S. OlssonM
  • 29M. KamaraM
  • 19J. BeckM
  • 9A. ZeneliM
  • 21L. ÖstmanF
Substitutes
  • 25A. SigurpálssonF
  • 3J. EsengaD
  • 17P. FrickF
  • 14G. GunnarssonF
  • 22D. KrasniqiF
  • 5O. NordvallM
  • 12T. SanderG
  • 27Oladimeji Oluwatimilehin AbdulmuizM
  • 2Viggo ElfstromD
Coach: Björn Hamberg
Kalmar FF 4-4-2
  • 1S. BrolinG
  • 26M. YlitolvaD
  • 4J. LöfgrenD
  • 47A. KeitaD
  • 2V. LarssonD
  • 10M. SöderbäckM
  • 22T. LauritsenM
  • 17C. GustafssonM
  • 24C. SagoeM
  • 21A. MagashyF
  • 9M. StoltF
Substitutes
  • 25N. ShamounM
  • 39L. SætraD
  • 5M. HallbergM
  • 19E. DallF
  • 7N. ChourakM
  • 32C. AnderssonG
  • 20A. AlmqvistD
Coach: T. Koskela

Form going into IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF

IF Elfsborg

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to IF Brommapojkarna6 September 2026
  • W2-0Degerfors IF29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to IFK Goteborg23 August 2026
  • W3-0Vasteras SK FK14 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Mjallby AIF8 August 2026

Kalmar FF

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Djurgardens IF7 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Halmstad29 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Vasteras SK FK23 August 2026
  • L0-4Hammarby FF16 August 2026
  • L2-3away to IFK Goteborg9 August 2026

What these results say

  • IF Elfsborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Kalmar FF did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Kalmar FF failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Kalmar FF conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5IF Elfsborg28121064231+1146
13Kalmar FF2875162442-1826

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF

  • 27 April 2026Kalmar FF 2–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
  • 29 September 2024Kalmar FF 1–3 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
  • 22 April 2024IF Elfsborg 1–2 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
  • 17 September 2023IF Elfsborg 0–3 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
  • 9 July 2023Kalmar FF 0–4 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: IF Elfsborg and Kalmar FF

IF Elfsborg

GoalsAssists

  • L. Östman112

Kalmar FF

No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 24 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

IF Elfsborg beat Kalmar FF 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for IF Elfsborg at 51%. The goal: Momoh Ibrahim Kamara 51' for IF Elfsborg.

How the call on IF Elfsborg v Kalmar FF has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 45% / 30% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 51% / 28% / 21%: the biggest move is IF Elfsborg's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. IF Elfsborg win51%▲ +6
  2. Draw28%▼ −2
  3. Kalmar FF win21%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.