Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Incheon United 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% Incheon United, 24% draw, 14% Gimcheon Sangmu FC — fair odds of 1.61, 4.17 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Incheon United at 62% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Incheon United
No earlier matches on record this season.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- D0-0FC Seoul8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Incheon United | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 32 | +3 | 37 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 29 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- 9 May 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0–3 Incheon UnitedK League 1
- 5 April 2026Incheon United 2–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 15 September 2024Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–0 Incheon UnitedK League 1
- 5 July 2024Incheon United 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 19 June 2024Incheon United 0–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FCFA Cup
- 5 May 2024Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–2 Incheon UnitedK League 1
Leading scorers: Incheon United and Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Incheon United
- S. Mugoša9 goals
- M. Ferrier4 goals
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Go Jae-Hyeon4 goals3 assists
- Lee Kun-Hee3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.