12 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos Super League 1 prediction & result

Kaftanzoglio Stadium, Thessaloniki
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Iraklis 1908 1-1 Atromitos.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Iraklis 1908, 29% draw, 27% Atromitos — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Iraklis 1908 at 44% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Iraklis 19085%Draw92%Atromitos3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Kylian Kaiboue
10'
Vitor Meer
19'
24'
⚽Sotiris Tsiloulis
31'
Sotiris Tsiloulis
38'
Juan José Perea
🔁Kylian Kaiboueout: Nemanja Radoja
45'
🔁Vitor Meerout: Ivi López
45'
56'
🔁Sotiris Tsiloulisout: S. Pnevmonidis
57'
🔁Juan José Pereaout: Panagiotis Tsantilas
🔁Nanuout: Pedro Marques
57'
60'
S. Pnevmonidis
71'
🔁Mattheos Mountesout: Athanasios Karamanis
⚽Pedro Marques
73'
Ivi López
77'
🔁Mike·van Beijnenout: Marco Krainz
82'
82'
🔁Lefteris Lyratzisout: Serginho
85'
Dimitrios Stavropoulos
🔁Elvir Koljićout: Kristian Kushta
86'

Match stats — Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos

59%Possession41%
6Shots7
1On target3
1Corners0

Line-ups

Iraklis 1908 5-4-1
  • 33G. AthanasiadisG
  • 30Carles SoriaD
  • 2P. VourosD
  • 21PiñaD
  • 3Vitor MeerD
  • 31NanuD
  • 18R. NizetM
  • 90V. SourlisM
  • 22K. KaïbouéM
  • 69Y. RocheM
  • 7E. KoljićF
Substitutes
  • 4S. ChaklaD
  • 1Georgios KarakasidisG
  • 27M. KrainzM
  • 9K. KushtaF
  • 11Ivi LópezM
  • 23Daniel Muñoz NavasD
  • 8N. RadojaM
  • 6CarlisM
  • 43Pedro MarquesF
Coach: W. Mazzarri
Atromitos 4-2-3-1
  • 1L. ChoutesiotisG
  • 12M. MountesD
  • 4D. StavrópoulosD
  • 32H. MagnússonD
  • 21J. UronenD
  • 5T. TsingarasM
  • 8S. MoutoussamyM
  • 23S. TsiloulisM
  • 7S. ZuberM
  • 2L. LyratzisM
  • 9J. PereaF
Substitutes
  • 88S. DiengG
  • 33Konstantinos BatosM
  • 31V. AthanasiouG
  • 6T. KaramanisD
  • 30A. KotsisM
  • 24G. MitoglouD
  • 16G. PapadopoulosD
  • 10S. PnevmonidisF
  • 44D. TsakmakisD
Coach: D. Kerkez

Form going into Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos

Iraklis 1908

  • W2-0away to Asteras Tripolis7 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Volos NFC29 August 2026
  • L0-4away to AEK Athens FC22 August 2026

Atromitos

  • D1-1Kalamata6 September 2026
  • L1-2PAOK30 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Olympiakos Piraeus22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Iraklis 1908412146-25
10Atromitos402235-22

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos

  • 12 September 2026Iraklis 1908 1–1 AtromitosSuper League 1
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.