Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Iraklis 1908 1-1 Atromitos.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Iraklis 1908, 29% draw, 27% Atromitos — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Iraklis 1908 at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos
Line-ups
- 33G. AthanasiadisG
- 30Carles SoriaD
- 2P. VourosD
- 21PiñaD
- 3Vitor MeerD
- 31NanuD
- 18R. NizetM
- 90V. SourlisM
- 22K. KaïbouéM
- 69Y. RocheM
- 7E. KoljićF
- 4S. ChaklaD
- 1Georgios KarakasidisG
- 27M. KrainzM
- 9K. KushtaF
- 11Ivi LópezM
- 23Daniel Muñoz NavasD
- 8N. RadojaM
- 6CarlisM
- 43Pedro MarquesF
- 1L. ChoutesiotisG
- 12M. MountesD
- 4D. StavrópoulosD
- 32H. MagnússonD
- 21J. UronenD
- 5T. TsingarasM
- 8S. MoutoussamyM
- 23S. TsiloulisM
- 7S. ZuberM
- 2L. LyratzisM
- 9J. PereaF
- 88S. DiengG
- 33Konstantinos BatosM
- 31V. AthanasiouG
- 6T. KaramanisD
- 30A. KotsisM
- 24G. MitoglouD
- 16G. PapadopoulosD
- 10S. PnevmonidisF
- 44D. TsakmakisD
Form going into Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos
Iraklis 1908
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Asteras Tripolis7 September 2026
- D1-1away to Volos NFC29 August 2026
- L0-4away to AEK Athens FC22 August 2026
Atromitos
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Kalamata6 September 2026
- L1-2PAOK30 August 2026
- L0-1away to Olympiakos Piraeus22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Iraklis 1908 and Atromitos
Iraklis 1908
GoalsAssists
- Pedro Marques31
Atromitos
No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Iraklis 1908 and Atromitos drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Iraklis 1908 at 44% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Sotiris Tsiloulis 24' for Atromitos, Pedro Marques 73' for Iraklis 1908.
How the call on Iraklis 1908 v Atromitos has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 33% / 30% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 44% / 29% / 27%: the biggest move is Iraklis 1908's chance of winning, up 11 points.
- Iraklis 1908 win44%▲ +11
- Draw29%▼ −1
- Atromitos win27%▼ −10
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.