Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 OFI.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Olympiakos Piraeus, 26% draw, 21% OFI — fair odds of 1.89, 3.85 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Greek Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Olympiakos Piraeus at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI
Line-ups
- 1S. OrtegaG
- 27M. PedersenD
- 45P. RetsosD
- 5L. PirolaD
- 71N. TiknizyanD
- 15G. PuertaM
- 19R. FreulerM
- 20Jota SilvaM
- 22ChiquinhoM
- 7K. FortounisM
- 34A. GonzálezF
- 8Gustavo SáM
- 32S. HezzeM
- 17L. BaileyF
- 10Gelson MartinsM
- 90ClaytonF
- 14Dani GarcíaM
- 11R. YaremchukF
- 4Z. SmajlovićD
- 2M. SaliakasD
- 31N. ChristogeorgosG
- 5K. KostoulasD
- 15A. PoungourasD
- 43D. NikolaouD
- 24L. DickmannM
- 14T. AndroutsosM
- 41A. BouchalakisM
- 3N. AthanasiouM
- 11T. FountasM
- 10Aitor CantalapiedraM
- 19K. KodroF
- 90Pavlos KenourgiakisD
- 30T. RomanoF
- 18T. NussF
- 1K. LiloG
- 2K. KrizmanićD
- 13P. KatsikasG
- 6Z. KarachaliosM
- 8G. KanellópoulosM
- 17Borja GonzálezD
Form going into Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI
Olympiakos Piraeus
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Volos NFC5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Asteras Tripolis30 August 2026
- W1-0Atromitos22 August 2026
- L1-2away to NEC Nijmegen11 August 2026
- D0-0NEC Nijmegen4 August 2026
OFI
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Kifisia6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Aris Thessalonikis30 August 2026
- W2-0away to CSKA Sofia27 August 2026
- W2-0Volos NFC23 August 2026
- W3-0CSKA Sofia20 August 2026
What these results say
- Olympiakos Piraeus scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Olympiakos Piraeus had two goals or fewer.
- OFI scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- OFI won 4 of these 5 matches.
- OFI kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 23 |
| 6 | OFI | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI
- 14 March 2026OFI 0–3 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
- 3 January 2026Olympiakos Piraeus 3–0 OFISuper Cup
- 6 December 2025Olympiakos Piraeus 3–0 OFISuper League 1
- 17 May 2025OFI 0–2 Olympiakos PiraeusCup
- 9 March 2025Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 OFISuper League 1
Leading scorers: Olympiakos Piraeus and OFI
Olympiakos Piraeus
GoalsAssists
- Jota Silva51
OFI
GoalsAssists
- K. Kodro40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
OFI won 1–0 at Olympiakos Piraeus. The model had leaned towards a win for Olympiakos Piraeus at 53% and given a win for OFI 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: Kenan Kodro 66' for OFI.
How the call on Olympiakos Piraeus v OFI has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 59% / 24% / 17% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 53% / 26% / 21%: the biggest move is Olympiakos Piraeus's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Olympiakos Piraeus win53%▼ −6
- Draw26%▲ +2
- OFI win21%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.