VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: VfL Bochum 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% VfL Bochum, 29% draw, 30% SpVgg Greuther Fürth — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts VfL Bochum at 41% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL Bochum
- W2-1away to Dynamo Dresden5 September 2026
- L0-1VfL Osnabrück28 August 2026
- W1-0away to Eintracht Braunschweig14 August 2026
- L0-1Hertha BSC7 August 2026
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- L0-11. FC Heidenheim6 September 2026
- W4-3away to Energie Cottbus29 August 2026
- L2-41. FC Nürnberg15 August 2026
- D1-1away to FC St. Pauli9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | VfL Bochum | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- 23 August 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–2 VfL BochumDFB Pokal
- 26 April 2026VfL Bochum 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
- 29 November 2025SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–3 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
- 5 March 2022Vfl Bochum 2–1 SpVgg Greuther FurthBundesliga
- 16 October 2021SpVgg Greuther Furth 0–1 Vfl BochumBundesliga
- 6 March 2021SpVgg Greuther Furth 1–2 Vfl Bochum2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: VfL Bochum and SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL Bochum
- K. Miyoshi2 goals1 assists
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- F. Klaus5 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.