1 November 2026, 07:30 UTC

FC Seoul vs Incheon United K League 1 prediction & result

Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
Referee: Park Byung-Jin
Full time0 – 1

Final score: FC Seoul 0-1 Incheon United.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% FC Seoul, 28% draw, 28% Incheon United — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Seoul at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Seoul4%Draw93%Incheon United3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Lee Sang-minout: Moon Seon-min
45'
🔁Jeong Hyeon-Wooout: Lee Han-do
45'
45'
🔁Leandro Ribeiroout: Lee Dong-ryul
🔁Cho Young-wookout: Hwang Do-yoon
62'
63'
Juan Ibiza
70'
🔁Stefan Mugošaout: Morgan Ferrier
82'
🔁Kim Seong-Minout: Gerso Fernandes
🔁Son Jeong-Beomout: Leonardo Ruiz
82'
85'
🔁Kim Myung-soonout: Lee Min-hyuk
85'
🔁Lee Myung-Jooout: Choi Seung-gu
90+6'
⚽Gerso Fernandesassist: Lee Min-hyuk

Match stats — FC Seoul vs Incheon United

46%Possession54%
3Shots7
2On target4
2Corners2

Line-ups

FC Seoul 4-4-2
  • 25Gu Sung-YunG
  • 16Choi JunD
  • 4Lee Sang-MinD
  • 5Yazan Al ArabD
  • 66Park Soo-IlD
  • 7Jeong Seung-WonM
  • 42J. SonM
  • 6H. BabecM
  • 14Hyeon-Woo JeongM
  • 9P. KlimalaF
  • 18Cho Young-WookF
Substitutes
  • 17Ahn Jae-MinD
  • 26Baek Jong-BeomG
  • 19Cheon Seong-HoonF
  • 41Hwang Do-YoonM
  • 20Lee Han-DoD
  • 27Moon Seon-MinF
  • 88Park Jang Han-GyeolM
  • 40Park Seong-HunD
  • 11L. RuizF
Coach: Kim Gi-Dong
Incheon United 4-4-2
  • 21Lee Tae-HuiG
  • 39Kim Myung-SunD
  • 4Kim Geon-HuiD
  • 2Juan FernándezD
  • 32Lee Ju-YongD
  • 17Kim Seong-MinM
  • 15Seo Jae-MinM
  • 5Lee Myung-JooM
  • 70Leandro RibeiroM
  • 9S. MugošaF
  • 72Lee Chung-YongF
Substitutes
  • 77Park Seung-HoF
  • 13Choi Seung-GuD
  • 11GersoF
  • 99M. FerrierF
  • 1Kim Dong-HeonG
  • 26Lee Min-HyeokM
  • 10Lee Dong-RyulF
  • 3Lee Sang-GiD
  • 20Park Kyung-SubD
Coach: Jong-hwan Yoon

Form going into FC Seoul vs Incheon United

FC Seoul

K League 1

  • D1-1Gangwon FC24 October 2026
  • D2-2Gimcheon Sangmu FC18 October 2026
  • W2-1Jeju United FC10 October 2026

Incheon United

K League 1

  • W3-1Jeju United FC24 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Gangwon FC18 October 2026
  • W3-0Pohang Steelers9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1FC Seoul3520786232+3067
6Incheon United351310124437+749

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Seoul vs Incheon United

  • 5 September 2026FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon UnitedK League 1
  • 5 July 2026FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon UnitedK League 1
  • 28 February 2026Incheon United 1–2 FC SeoulK League 1
  • 27 July 2024Incheon United 0–1 FC SeoulK League 1
  • 11 May 2024Incheon United 1–2 FC SeoulK League 1
  • 10 March 2024FC Seoul 0–0 Incheon UnitedK League 1

Leading scorers: FC Seoul and Incheon United

FC Seoul

GoalsAssists

  • P. Klimala80

Incheon United

GoalsAssists

  • S. Mugoša111
  • M. Ferrier51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Incheon United won 1–0 at FC Seoul. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Seoul at 44% and given a win for Incheon United 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Gerso Fernandes 90+6' for Incheon United.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.