8 November 2026, 13:00 UTC

JS El Biar vs MC Alger Ligue 1 prediction & result

Full time1 – 0

Final score: JS El Biar 1-0 MC Alger.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% JS El Biar, 27% draw, 42% MC Alger — fair odds of 3.23, 3.70 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

MC Alger at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

JS El Biar95%Draw5%MC Alger0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽S. Kermicheassist: A. Mammeri
7'
M. Bouchina
36'
46'
🔁C. Boukholdaout: A. Abdellaoui
46'
🔁S. Konateout: B. A. Kohili
46'
🔁O. Benhaouaout: M. Halaimia
🔁S. Kermicheout: B. Bakhtouchi
58'
🔁I. Cissokoout: O. Chita
60'
60'
🔁M. Mehdaouiout: M. Benkhemassa
61'
🔁M. Bangouraout: S. Bayazid
M. Reguieg
69'
🔁A. Bangouraout: K. Merzougui
71'
T. Moussaoui
90'
🔁D. Mouakiout: I. Abbaci
90+2'
🔁B. Bakhtouchiout: D. Remouche
90+2'

Line-ups

JS El Biar
  • 30T. Moussaoui
  • 6F. Abdat
  • 26A. Mammeri
  • 2M. Reguieg
  • 22A. Kante
  • 15M. Bouchina
  • 10A. Bangoura
  • 13I. Cissoko
  • 7S. Kermiche
  • 9D. Mouaki
  • 5B. Cisse
Substitutes
  • 16M. Aziria
  • 8O. Chita
  • 18B. Bakhtouchi
  • 24H. Mellouk
  • 11K. Merzougui
  • 29T. Tahar
  • 17A. Oukil
  • 23D. Remouche
  • 28I. Abbaci
MC Alger
  • 1A. Ramdane
  • 2Y. Gassi
  • 8Z. Ferhat
  • 12M. Zougrana
  • 17C. Boukholda
  • 18M. Bangoura
  • 19A. Ghezala
  • 22S. Konate
  • 23M. Mehdaoui
  • 27A. Menezla
  • 28O. Benhaoua
Substitutes
  • 16Y. Gourari Tebaa
  • 5A. Abdellaoui
  • 6M. Benkhemassa
  • 7S. Bayazid
  • 10A. Azaizeh
  • 14B. A. Kohili
  • 15M. Boucherit
  • 21M. Abdelkader
  • 20M. Halaimia

Form going into JS El Biar vs MC Alger

JS El Biar

Ligue 1

  • L0-1away to JS Kabylie30 October 2026
  • D0-0MC Oran23 October 2026
  • W4-2away to CS Constantine17 October 2026
  • L2-3CR Belouizdad12 October 2026

MC Alger

Ligue 1

  • W2-0MC Oran4 November 2026
  • W2-0Khenchela31 October 2026
  • W1-0away to US Biskra27 October 2026
  • D1-1away to ASO Chlef13 October 2026

What these results say

  • JS El Biar failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • JS El Biar conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • MC Alger went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • MC Alger scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for MC Alger had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Algeria Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8JS El Biar93241312+111
3MC Alger751192+716

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

JS El Biar beat MC Alger 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for MC Alger at 42% and given a win for JS El Biar 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: S. Kermiche 7' for JS El Biar.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave MC Alger a 41.6% chance to win the league: 47.9% after a win, 38.7% after a draw, 33.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 33.4%, 8.2 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on JS El Biar v MC Alger has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 33% / 27% / 40% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 31% / 27% / 42%: the biggest move is JS El Biar's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. JS El Biar win31%▼ −2
  2. Draw27%=
  3. MC Alger win42%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.