Khenchela vs Témouchent Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: Khenchela 1-1 Témouchent.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Khenchela, 29% draw, 26% Témouchent — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Khenchela at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 16O. Litim
- 27Z. Zaitri
- 18A. Boukhalfa
- 19A. Dris
- 4I. Boubekeur
- 6A. Zenasni
- 14K. Issouf
- 23F. Amrane
- 11A. Chaibi
- 29A. Camara
- 9A. Mathew Fall
- 1H. Bencheikh El Fegoun
- 17S. Matallah
- 10M. Boukassi
- 8A. Sameur
- 7A. Askar
- 5Y. Douar
- 25A. Bendaoud
- 15M. Nezla
- 21I. Hachoud
- 30F. Boukerrit
- 21A. Maddah
- 15K. Baaziz
- 4I. Chahrour
- 6M. Senhadji
- 14B. Boubaker
- 25H. Boutamina
- 13N. Merdja
- 26I. Saihi
- 20M. Itim
- 9M. Zaalouk
- 24S. Safaga
- 28L. Bouziane
- 3G. Wael
- 7B. Bensaha
- 22S. A. Aissaoui
- 19A. Barkat
- 16A. Morcely
- 23A. Belkacemi
- 12R. Bounoua
Form going into Khenchela vs Témouchent
Khenchela
Ligue 1
- L0-2away to MC Alger31 October 2026
- L0-3JS Kabylie24 October 2026
- L0-1away to MC Oran17 October 2026
Témouchent
Ligue 1
- D1-1US Biskra2 November 2026
- W2-1away to ES Setif24 October 2026
- D1-1ASO Chlef18 October 2026
- L0-2MB Rouisset14 October 2026
What these results say
- Témouchent conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Témouchent failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Témouchent scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Khenchela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
| 9 | Témouchent | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Khenchela and Témouchent drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Khenchela at 45% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: M. Itim 61' for Témouchent, A. Askar 90+1' for Khenchela. Sent off: A. Askar (Khenchela) 90+1'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Khenchela a 28.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 22.7% after a win, 31.0% after a draw, 37.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 31.0%, 2.2 points higher than before the match.
For Témouchent the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 36.6% going in: 25.7% after a win, 36.5% after a draw, 41.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 36.5%.
Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.