Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Kaizer Chiefs, 21% draw, 39% Mamelodi Sundowns — fair odds of 2.50, 4.76 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Kaizer Chiefs at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns
Kaizer Chiefs
- W2-0Sekhukhune United12 August 2026
Mamelodi Sundowns
- W3-2away to TS Galaxy11 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kaizer Chiefs | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 12 |
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns
- 6 May 2026Mamelodi Sundowns 1–1 Kaizer ChiefsPremier Soccer League
- 27 August 2025Kaizer Chiefs 0–0 Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League
- 13 April 2025Mamelodi Sundowns 1–2 Kaizer ChiefsCup
- 1 March 2025Mamelodi Sundowns 1–0 Kaizer ChiefsPremier Soccer League
- 2 November 2024Kaizer Chiefs 0–4 Mamelodi SundownsLeague Cup
- 28 September 2024Kaizer Chiefs 1–2 Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League
Leading scorers: Kaizer Chiefs and Mamelodi Sundowns
Kaizer Chiefs
- L. Maboe2 goals1 assists
Mamelodi Sundowns
- B. León3 goals1 assists
- T. Matthews2 goals3 assists
- C. Mailula2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.