15 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Konyaspor vs Rizespor Süper Lig prediction & result

Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium, Konya
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Konyaspor 0-1 Rizespor.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Konyaspor, 22% draw, 37% Rizespor — fair odds of 2.44, 4.55 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Konyaspor at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Konyaspor5%Draw90%Rizespor5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
Qazim Laci
🔁E. Colleyout: E. Bars
60'
🔁B. Gungorduout: D. Ertas
68'
🔁D. Goncalvesout: M. Jevtovic
68'
🔁D. Turucout: B. Kramer
68'
68'
🔁D. Varesanovicout: I. Olawoyin
70'
Adedire Mebude
73'
🔁A. Mebudeout: M. Faye
79'
Ali Sowe
🔁M. Ibrahimogluout: E. Bardhi
83'
84'
🔁A. Kutucuout: E. Bulut
Chidozie Awaziem
90+6'
90+6'
Mithat Pala
90'
⚽Q. Laci (pen)

Match stats — Konyaspor vs Rizespor

43%Possession57%
8Shots13
3On target5
1Corners7
0.53xG1.46

Goals against chances

Konyaspor0 from 0.53 xGless than the chances were worth
Rizespor1 from 1.46 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Konyaspor 4-1-4-1
  • 13B. GungorduG
  • 17Y. AndzouanaD
  • 15C. AwaziemD
  • 4A. DemirbagD
  • 3A. BoslukD
  • 5U. YazgiliM
  • 9D. TurucM
  • 77M. IbrahimogluM
  • 7D. GoncalvesM
  • 19E. ColleyM
  • 11J. MulekaF
Substitutes
  • 1D. ErtasG
  • 26A. MasuakuD
  • 22R. BaniyaD
  • 41Da MataD
  • 8M. JevtovicM
  • 10E. BardhiM
  • 99B. KramerF
  • 94E. DestanF
  • 45E. BarsF
Coach: Ilhan Palut
Rizespor 4-2-3-1
  • 75Y. FofanaG
  • 54M. PalaD
  • 4A. MocsiD
  • 93M. SagnanD
  • 17Z. ArissD
  • 20Q. LaciM
  • 14T. AntalyaliM
  • 11A. MebudeM
  • 8D. VaresanovicM
  • 23A. KutucuM
  • 9A. SoweF
Substitutes
  • 30Z. GorgenG
  • 5T. T. SanucD
  • 37T. SahinD
  • 21S. BakayokoD
  • 19U. ErdemD
  • 47E. Yilmaz
  • 10I. OlawoyinF
  • 22M. FayeF
  • 99E. BulutF
Coach: Recep Ucar

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Konyaspor510448-43
5Rizespor530254+19

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Konyaspor vs Rizespor

  • 15 August 2026Konyaspor 0–1 RizesporSüper Lig
  • 1 May 2026Rizespor 3–2 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • 6 December 2025Konyaspor 1–1 RizesporSüper Lig
  • 17 July 2025Konyaspor 2–1 RizesporFriendlies Clubs
  • 10 May 2025Konyaspor 2–1 RizesporSüper Lig
  • 14 December 2024Rizespor 1–1 KonyasporSüper Lig

Leading scorers: Konyaspor and Rizespor

Konyaspor

No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Rizespor

  • E. Bulut2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.