Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad AC Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Kawkab Marrakech 2-1 Wydad AC.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Kawkab Marrakech, 32% draw, 28% Wydad AC — fair odds of 2.50, 3.13 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Kawkab Marrakech at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad AC
Line-ups
- 67A. El OuaadG
- 15Abdellah BouallaliD
- 20Mouhcine RabjaD
- 21Hamza RafaM
- 14H. SmaaliM
- 13haimoud abdallahM
- 25N. KhaliM
- 5O. MahrousM
- 11S. EssallamiF
- 19Jawad rhabraF
- 77A. MaamouriF
- 24Y. RaianiM
- 8K. TamraniM
- 17Y. ZghoudiF
- 33A. BaadiD
- 4mohamed benhitaD
- 30A. CamaraD
- 16Mahmoud kayssoumi elM
- 26H. FassoukhD
- 22A. M'HamdiG
- 1R. GhanimiG
- 13S. Moussaddaq KerboubD
- 2M. MoufidD
- 25I. DayoD
- 14Y. Attiat-AllahD
- 23Oussama ZemraouiM
- 33A. KhalloufiM
- 7Haitam HamaniM
- 10Aymane El HassouniM
- 27J. BakasuM
- 15S. GanvoulaF
- 5Y. JabraneM
- 19H. HannouriF
- 6N. ByarM
- 16M. BenabidG
- Mouad Aounzou
- 18Nizar Al RashdanM
- 3H. Janan AllahM
- 91Y. JabraneF
Form going into Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad AC
Kawkab Marrakech
Botola Pro
- W1-0away to Amal Tiznit31 October 2026
- D1-1Difaa EL Jadida25 October 2026
- W1-0away to Widad Témara18 October 2026
- W2-1Ittihad Tanger10 October 2026
Wydad AC
Botola Pro
- W1-0Moghreb Tetouan31 October 2026
- W1-0away to UTS Rabat24 October 2026
- D1-1Amal Tiznit18 October 2026
- D0-0CODM Meknès11 October 2026
What these results say
- Kawkab Marrakech went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Kawkab Marrakech scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Kawkab Marrakech won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Wydad AC went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Wydad AC had two goals or fewer.
- Wydad AC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kawkab Marrakech | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Wydad AC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad AC
- 25 April 2026Kawkab Marrakech 0–0 Wydad ACBotola Pro
- 12 September 2025Wydad AC 1–0 Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
- 9 June 2019Kawkab Marrakech 3–3 Wydad ACBotola Pro
- 27 January 2019Wydad AC 3–1 Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
- 21 April 2018Wydad AC 4–1 Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
- 8 January 2018Kawkab Marrakech 2–1 Wydad ACBotola Pro
The result against the call
Kawkab Marrakech beat Wydad AC 2–1. The model had made a win for Kawkab Marrakech its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Oussama·Mahrous 18' for Kawkab Marrakech, saleh essallami 43' for Kawkab Marrakech, Oussama Zemraoui 60' for Wydad AC. Sent off: Haitam Hamani (Wydad AC) 7'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Kawkab Marrakech a 57.8% chance to finish top of the regular season: 100.0% after a win, 52.8% after a draw, 0.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 100.0%, 42.2 points higher than before the match.
For Wydad AC the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 29.5% going in: 100.0% after a win, 6.9% after a draw, 0.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 0.0%, 29.5 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Botola Pro season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Kawkab Marrakech v Wydad AC has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 42% / 31% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 40% / 32% / 28%: the biggest move is Kawkab Marrakech's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Kawkab Marrakech win40%▼ −2
- Draw32%▲ +1
- Wydad AC win28%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.