7 November 2026, 10:30 UTC

Meshakhte vs Torpedo Kutaisi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result

Agrano Vachadze Stadium
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Meshakhte 2-3 Torpedo Kutaisi.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% Meshakhte, 27% draw, 48% Torpedo Kutaisi — fair odds of 4.00, 3.70 and 2.08.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Torpedo Kutaisi at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Meshakhte3%Draw92%Torpedo Kutaisi5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
Nodar Lominadze
tarik sikalo
21'
40'
Komnen Andrić
⚽Mate Kvirkvia
43'
46'
🔁luka kupravaout: Matej Simic
⚽giorgi papuashviliassist: Giorgi burduli
51'
56'
Vladimer Mamuchashvili
56'
diego deisadze
Lasha Ugrekhelidze
56'
Erekle jijavadze
56'
58'
🔁Nodar Lominadzeout: Dino Skorup
65'
⚽Bukiya datoassist: Akaki Shulaia
65'
🔁Komnen Andrićout: Giorgi Kokhreidze
🔁tarik sikaloout: maksym pyrohov
68'
🔁giorgi papuashviliout: giorgi kvirkvelia
75'
75'
⚽Dino Skorupassist: Bukiya dato
🔁beka gabiskiriaout: Giorgi Gogolashvili
82'
🔁Mate Kvirkviaout: saba chkhetiani
82'
saba chkhetiani
86'
90'
🔁Akaki Shulaiaout: Nika Khatoyan
90+4'
⚽Felipe Pires

Match stats — Meshakhte vs Torpedo Kutaisi

42%Possession58%
11Shots12
5On target8
6Corners6

Line-ups

Meshakhte 4-1-4-1
  • 1L. TkeshelashviliG
  • 23B. ShubitidzeM
  • 20L. KurdadzeD
  • 40L. UgrekhelidzeD
  • 13G. BurduliD
  • 7E. JijavadzeM
  • 26B. GabiskiriaD
  • 22T. ŠikaloM
  • 6G. PapuashviliM
  • 11M. KvirkviaF
  • 18T. PatsatsiaM
Substitutes
  • 30M. PyrogovM
  • 29L. ShovnadzeG
  • 24S. Chkhetiani
  • 19I. DgebuadzeM
  • 16G. GegiaD
  • 10G. GogolashviliF
  • 8G. JamarauliM
  • 21G. KvirkveliaM
  • 2S. Nikoloz
Torpedo Kutaisi 4-4-2
  • 1O. GoshadzeG
  • 15L. KupravaD
  • 22D. BukiaD
  • 24L. LatsabidzeD
  • 33M. StamatovD
  • 40A. ShulaiaM
  • 17N. LominadzeM
  • 7V. MamuchashviliM
  • 14Felipe PiresF
  • 35D. DeisadzeM
  • 9K. AndrićF
Substitutes
  • 29M. ChitaishviliM
  • 8M. ItrakM
  • 13G. KatkovD
  • 28Nika KhatoyanF
  • 31F. KljajićG
  • 10G. KokhreidzeM
  • 5T. NadaraiaD
  • 4M. ŠimićD
  • 20D. SkorupM
Coach: D. Schuster

Form going into Meshakhte vs Torpedo Kutaisi

Meshakhte

Erovnuli Liga

  • L0-1away to Dinamo Batumi1 November 2026
  • W2-1Dila24 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Samgurali17 October 2026
  • L1-2FC Iberia 199910 October 2026

Torpedo Kutaisi

Erovnuli Liga

  • W2-1Dila2 November 2026
  • L2-3away to FC Iberia 199926 October 2026
  • L0-1Rustavi18 October 2026
  • D3-3away to Spaeri10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Meshakhte conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Meshakhte failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Torpedo Kutaisi conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Torpedo Kutaisi failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Torpedo Kutaisi scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Meshakhte32311182553-2820
5Torpedo Kutaisi321110115344+943

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Meshakhte vs Torpedo Kutaisi

  • 31 August 2026Torpedo Kutaisi 0–2 MeshakhteErovnuli Liga
  • 20 May 2026Meshakhte 1–4 Torpedo KutaisiErovnuli Liga
  • 3 April 2026Torpedo Kutaisi 3–0 MeshakhteErovnuli Liga

Leading scorers: Meshakhte and Torpedo Kutaisi

Meshakhte

No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.

Torpedo Kutaisi

GoalsAssists

  • K. Andrić82
  • G. Arabidze58
  • Felipe Pires30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Torpedo Kutaisi won 3–2 at Meshakhte. The model had made a win for Torpedo Kutaisi its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Mate Kvirkvia 43' for Meshakhte, giorgi papuashvili 51' for Meshakhte, Bukiya dato 65' for Torpedo Kutaisi, Dino Skorup 75' for Torpedo Kutaisi, Felipe Pires 90+4' for Torpedo Kutaisi.

How the call on Meshakhte v Torpedo Kutaisi has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 23% / 27% / 50% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 25% / 27% / 48%: the biggest move is Meshakhte's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Meshakhte win25%▲ +2
  2. Draw27%=
  3. Torpedo Kutaisi win48%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.