7 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat Botola Pro prediction & result

Complexe Sportif de Fès, Fez
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Maghreb Fès 1-0 FUS Rabat.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Maghreb Fès, 34% draw, 23% FUS Rabat — fair odds of 2.33, 2.94 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Maghreb Fès at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Maghreb Fès98%Draw2%FUS Rabat0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Hamza Afsaassist: Khalid Baba
14'
El Habib Brija
34'
46'
🔁Deo Bassingaout: Mohamed Bakhkhach
Marouane Ouhrou
57'
🔁Khalid Babaout: Christopher Ibayi
65'
🔁Hamza Afsaout: Anas El Mahraoui
66'
🔁Tshegofatso Mabasoout: adam brika
66'
67'
Faraji Karmoune
70'
Anas Serrhat
devin titus
73'
75'
79'
🔁Anas Serrhatout: Ismail Moutaraji
79'
🔁Amine Souaneout: Mohamed Ferhane
🔁Anas Tahiriout: Adil Rhaili
81'
🔁devin titusout: mounir gouj el
82'
90+6'
Amine Lemsen

Match stats — Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat

45%Possession55%
5Shots18
1On target11
4Corners4

Line-ups

Maghreb Fès 4-2-3-1
  • 16S. ChihabG
  • 20S. GhedamsiD
  • 5A. ChbaniD
  • 15A. KhafifiD
  • 21M. OuhrouM
  • 29E. BrijaM
  • 19A. TahiriM
  • 7K. BabaF
  • 30H. AfsalM
  • 26D. TitusF
  • 9Tshegofatso MabasoF
Substitutes
  • 14A. BrikaM
  • 2Diogo CalilaD
  • 10A. El FarissiF
  • 31M. El GoujM
  • 17A. El MahraouiF
  • 12O. ErrahmanyG
  • 23Youssef HafidiF
  • 18C. IbayiF
  • 13A. RhailiD
Coach: Rui Almeida
FUS Rabat 4-3-3
  • 97A. LakredG
  • 2F. KarmouneM
  • 31Fernando Data ChambocoD
  • 3A. LemsenD
  • 42hamza bouhadiD
  • 8A. MaherM
  • 6Issam NajiM
  • 5A. SerrhatM
  • 28Déo Gracias Maurile Gloire BassingaF
  • 9M. LahtimiM
  • 14A. SouaneM
Substitutes
  • 34A. ZineD
  • 49S. TaziF
  • 18I. MoutarajiM
  • 22Mohamed FerhaneF
  • 10H. FerdaoussiM
  • 7C. FaidiF
  • 13M. BellarabiG
  • 17M. BakhkhachF
  • 32Arkid AbderrahmanM
Coach: Ricardo Formosinho

Form going into Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat

Maghreb Fès

Botola Pro

  • L0-1away to Widad Témara1 November 2026
  • D0-0Renaissance Berkane29 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Ittihad Tanger14 October 2026
  • D0-0Raja Casablanca8 October 2026

FUS Rabat

Botola Pro

  • W1-0Hassania Agadir31 October 2026
  • W1-0away to CR Khemis Zemamra25 October 2026
  • D1-1Raja Casablanca13 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Moghreb Tetouan9 October 2026

What these results say

  • Maghreb Fès did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Maghreb Fès failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Maghreb Fès had two goals or fewer.
  • FUS Rabat went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for FUS Rabat had two goals or fewer.
  • FUS Rabat scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Botola Pro table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Maghreb Fès732265+111
10FUS Rabat722345-18

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat

  • 12 June 2026FUS Rabat 1–1 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro
  • 24 January 2026Maghreb Fès 4–2 FUS RabatBotola Pro
  • 12 April 2025Maghreb Fès 1–0 FUS RabatBotola Pro
  • 25 November 2024FUS Rabat 1–1 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro
  • 10 February 2024Maghreb Fès 1–2 FUS RabatBotola Pro
  • 3 September 2023FUS Rabat 0–0 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro

The result against the call

Maghreb Fès beat FUS Rabat 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Maghreb Fès at 43%. The goal: Hamza Afsa 14' for Maghreb Fès.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Maghreb Fès a 1.2% chance to finish in the bottom four: 0.0% after a win, 0.0% after a draw, 5.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 0.0%, 1.2 points lower than before the match.

For FUS Rabat the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 11.0% going in: 0.0% after a win, 0.0% after a draw, 22.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 22.6%, 11.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Botola Pro season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Maghreb Fès v FUS Rabat has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 48% / 31% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 43% / 34% / 23%: the biggest move is Maghreb Fès's chance of winning, down 5 points.

  1. Maghreb Fès win43%▼ −5
  2. Draw34%▲ +3
  3. FUS Rabat win23%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.