Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Kosovo 1-0 Rep. Of Ireland.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Kosovo, 30% draw, 42% Rep. Of Ireland — fair odds of 3.57, 3.33 and 2.38.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Nations League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Rep. Of Ireland at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland
Line-ups
- 1A. MurićG
- 15M. VojvodaD
- 5L. DellovaD
- 4I. KrasniqiD
- 21A. HajdariD
- 13D. GallapeniD
- 10E. ZhegrovaM
- 20V. HodžaM
- 23L. AvdullahuM
- 14B. ZabërgjaM
- 18V. MuriqiF
- 11F. AsllaniF
- 12V. BekajG
- 22M. JashariM
- 17E. KrasniqiF
- 8V. MatoshiM
- 2R. RaciD
- 7M. RashicaM
- 9A. RrahmaniF
- 16A. SaipiG
- 1C. KelleherG
- 5J. O'BrienD
- 15J. EganD
- 4D. O'SheaD
- 2J. AbankwahM
- 8J. KnightM
- 6J. MolumbyM
- 3L. ScalesM
- 20C. OgbeneM
- 11F. AzazM
- 7T. ParrottF
- 10A. IdahF
- 18R. ManningD
- 17J. MoylanM
- 23M. O’LearyG
- 22K. PhillipsM
- 9T. CannonF
- 16G. BazunuG
- 21R. VataF
- 13J. BaganD
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kosovo | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Rep. Of Ireland | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Kosovo and Rep. Of Ireland
Kosovo
No player in UEFA Nations League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Rep. Of Ireland
GoalsAssists
- T. Parrott40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kosovo beat Rep. Of Ireland 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Rep. Of Ireland at 42% and given a win for Kosovo 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Vedat Muriqi 83' for Kosovo.