12 September 2026, 16:15 UTC

KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Full time4 – 2

Final score: KVC Westerlo 4-2 Standard Liege.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% KVC Westerlo, 28% draw, 27% Standard Liege — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

KVC Westerlo at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

KVC Westerlo97%Draw3%Standard Liege0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Norman Bassetteassist: Cameron Congreve
12'
⚽Amando Lapage
56'
61'
🔁Rayan Touzgharout: Salieu Drammeh
61'
🔁Dennis Dargahiout: Bruny Nsimba
61'
🔁Bernard Ngueneout: Sylvester Jasper
66'
⚽Bruny Nsimbaassist: Ibrahim Karamoko
71'
⚽Adnane Abid
🔁Shunsuke Saitoout: Nikola Storm
72'
🔁Isa Sakamotoout: Pape Daouda Diong
72'
⚽Pape Daouda Diongassist: Ibrahim Cheick Fofana
77'
🔁Cameron Congreveout: Thomas Van Den Keybus
81'
🔁Norman Bassetteout: Lucas Mbamba-Muanda
81'
88'
🔁Tobias Mohrout: Ryan Fosso
88'
🔁Marlon Fosseyout: Henry Lawrence
⚽Thomas Van Den Keybusassist: Lasse Flo
90+2'

Match stats — KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege

43%Possession57%
10Shots12
7On target6
1Corners7

Line-ups

KVC Westerlo 4-2-3-1
  • 99A. JungdalG
  • 2L. FløD
  • 5S. KimuraD
  • 4A. LapageD
  • 28D. OuregaD
  • 45I. FofanaM
  • 14C. SandraM
  • 20C. CongreveM
  • 13I. SakamotoM
  • 7S. SaitoM
  • 9N. BassetteF
Substitutes
  • 40B. BaloghD
  • 11N. Bohamdi-KamoniF
  • 26D. DionguM
  • 88F. FerraroD
  • 1B. LathouwersG
  • 23L. Mbamba-MuandaD
  • 10N. StormF
  • 8S. SydorchukM
  • 39T. Van den KeybusM
Coach: I. Charaï
Standard Liege 4-3-3
  • 1M. EpoloG
  • 13M. FosseyD
  • 20I. KaramokoD
  • 25I. HautekietD
  • 7T. MohrD
  • 94C. NielsenM
  • 22A. TrouilletM
  • 84R. TouzgharM
  • 17Bernard NgueneF
  • 10D. Eckert AyensaF
  • 11A. AbidF
Substitutes
  • 21L. PirardG
  • 18H. LawrenceD
  • 6L. GoemaereM
  • 80R. FossoM
  • 19S. JasperM
  • 15S. DrammehM
  • 29D. DierckxD
  • 39Noah Abdoulaye SyM
  • 77B. NsimbaF
Coach: V. Euvrard

Form going into KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege

KVC Westerlo

All competitions we cover

  • W4-0away to KV Mechelen5 September 2026
  • D2-2Zulte Waregem30 August 2026
  • L0-4away to Lommel United23 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Genk15 August 2026
  • L1-5Union St. Gilloise8 August 2026

Standard Liege

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Antwerp5 September 2026
  • W2-1away to OH Leuven29 August 2026
  • W2-0RAAL La Louvière21 August 2026
  • D3-3away to KV Mechelen16 August 2026
  • D2-2Cercle Brugge8 August 2026

What these results say

  • Every one of these 5 matches for KVC Westerlo had three goals or more.
  • KVC Westerlo failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • KVC Westerlo scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Standard Liege went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Standard Liege scored in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9KVC Westerlo114252630-414
8Standard Liege114341816+215

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege

  • 19 May 2026KVC Westerlo 1–2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
  • 11 April 2026Standard Liege 1–2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
  • 22 March 2026Standard Liege 0–0 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
  • 21 September 2025KVC Westerlo 0–2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
  • 24 May 2025KVC Westerlo 0–0 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege

KVC Westerlo

GoalsAssists

  • N. Bassette80
  • S. Saito51

Standard Liege

GoalsAssists

  • D. Eckert Ayensa71

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

KVC Westerlo beat Standard Liege 4–2. The model had made a win for KVC Westerlo its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Norman Bassette 12' for KVC Westerlo, Amando Lapage 56' for KVC Westerlo, Bruny Nsimba 66' for Standard Liege, Adnane Abid 71' for Standard Liege, Pape Daouda Diong 77' for KVC Westerlo, Thomas Van Den Keybus 90+2' for KVC Westerlo.

How the call on KVC Westerlo v Standard Liege has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 39% / 28% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 45% / 28% / 27%: the biggest move is KVC Westerlo's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. KVC Westerlo win45%▲ +6
  2. Draw28%=
  3. Standard Liege win27%▼ −6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.