KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: KVC Westerlo 4-2 Standard Liege.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% KVC Westerlo, 28% draw, 27% Standard Liege — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts KVC Westerlo at 45% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege
Line-ups
- 99A. JungdalG
- 2L. FløD
- 5S. KimuraD
- 4A. LapageD
- 28D. OuregaD
- 45I. FofanaM
- 14C. SandraM
- 20C. CongreveM
- 13I. SakamotoM
- 7S. SaitoM
- 9N. BassetteF
- 40B. BaloghD
- 11N. Bohamdi-KamoniF
- 26D. DionguM
- 88F. FerraroD
- 1B. LathouwersG
- 23L. Mbamba-MuandaD
- 10N. StormF
- 8S. SydorchukM
- 39T. Van den KeybusM
- 1M. EpoloG
- 13M. FosseyD
- 20I. KaramokoD
- 25I. HautekietD
- 7T. MohrD
- 94C. NielsenM
- 22A. TrouilletM
- 84R. TouzgharM
- 17Bernard NgueneF
- 10D. Eckert AyensaF
- 11A. AbidF
- 21L. PirardG
- 18H. LawrenceD
- 6L. GoemaereM
- 80R. FossoM
- 19S. JasperM
- 15S. DrammehM
- 29D. DierckxD
- 39Noah Abdoulaye SyM
- 77B. NsimbaF
Form going into KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
- W4-0away to KV Mechelen5 September 2026
- D2-2Zulte Waregem30 August 2026
- L0-4away to Lommel United23 August 2026
- L2-3away to Genk15 August 2026
Standard Liege
- W1-0Antwerp5 September 2026
- W2-1away to OH Leuven29 August 2026
- W2-0RAAL La Louvière21 August 2026
- D3-3away to KV Mechelen16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | KVC Westerlo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 7 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege
- 12 September 2026KVC Westerlo 4–2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
- 19 May 2026KVC Westerlo 1–2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
- 11 April 2026Standard Liege 1–2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 22 March 2026Standard Liege 0–0 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 21 September 2025KVC Westerlo 0–2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
- 24 May 2025KVC Westerlo 0–0 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
- S. Saito3 goals
- N. Bassette3 goals
Standard Liege
- D. Eckert Ayensa4 goals
- A. Abid3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.