OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: OH Leuven 1-1 Cercle Brugge.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% OH Leuven, 29% draw, 31% Cercle Brugge — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
OH Leuven at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge
Line-ups
- 1D. van den HeuvelG
- 5J. LawrenceD
- 3N. DussenneD
- 34R. NyakossiD
- 27Óscar GilM
- 6W. GeorgeM
- 4B. VerstraeteM
- 99D. OpokuM
- 18R. MirisolaF
- 8S. SchrijversF
- 9A. TraoréF
- 11H. TeklabM
- 17K. VaesenF
- 20S. YamadaF
- 24Ł. ŁakomyM
- 30A. FontanarosaD
- 19C. IkwuemesiF
- 61O. JochmansG
- 21W. BalikwishaF
- 26T. OgiwaraD
- 1G. CouckeG
- 5Emmanuel KakouD
- 24G. KondoD
- 33R. CaicedoD
- 2I. DiakitéM
- 15G. MagnéeM
- 42L. MondeleM
- 12V. KonatéM
- 8ErickM
- 13D. VanzeirM
- 9S. NgouraF
- 30B. AkinsolaF
- 10L. AmaniM
- 41K. KouassiF
- 21Y. LienardG
- 71V. MartensM
- 22L. MichalF
- 28H. Van der BruggenM
- 82Louis ColmanD
- 7Abdoul OuattaraF
Form going into OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to SK Beveren6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Gent3 September 2026
- L1-2Standard Liege29 August 2026
- L0-3Club Brugge KV15 August 2026
- L1-3away to Charleroi9 August 2026
Cercle Brugge
All competitions we cover
- L0-3Gent6 September 2026
- L0-1Lommel United29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Club Brugge KV23 August 2026
- D3-3St. Truiden14 August 2026
- D2-2away to Standard Liege8 August 2026
What these results say
- OH Leuven did not win any of these 5 matches.
- OH Leuven conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for OH Leuven had three goals or more.
- Cercle Brugge did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Cercle Brugge conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | OH Leuven | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Cercle Brugge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge
- 21 December 2025OH Leuven 0–2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 8 November 2025Cercle Brugge 1–2 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- 22 December 2024Cercle Brugge 1–0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- 18 August 2024OH Leuven 1–1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 16 December 2023OH Leuven 1–2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
The result against the call
OH Leuven and Cercle Brugge drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for OH Leuven at 40% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Davis Opoku 25' for OH Leuven, Krys-Anthony Madou Kouassi (penalty) 90+6' for Cercle Brugge.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.