OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: OH Leuven 1-1 Cercle Brugge.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% OH Leuven, 29% draw, 31% Cercle Brugge — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts OH Leuven at 40% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge
Line-ups
- 1D. van den HeuvelG
- 5J. LawrenceD
- 3N. DussenneD
- 34R. NyakossiD
- 27Óscar GilM
- 6W. GeorgeM
- 4B. VerstraeteM
- 99D. OpokuM
- 18R. MirisolaF
- 8S. SchrijversF
- 9A. TraoréF
- 11H. TeklabM
- 17K. VaesenF
- 20S. YamadaF
- 24Ł. ŁakomyM
- 30A. FontanarosaD
- 19C. IkwuemesiF
- 61O. JochmansG
- 21W. BalikwishaF
- 26T. OgiwaraD
- 1G. CouckeG
- 5Emmanuel KakouD
- 24G. KondoD
- 33R. CaicedoD
- 2I. DiakitéM
- 15G. MagnéeM
- 42L. MondeleM
- 12V. KonatéM
- 8ErickM
- 13D. VanzeirM
- 9S. NgouraF
- 30B. AkinsolaF
- 10L. AmaniM
- 41K. KouassiF
- 21Y. LienardG
- 71V. MartensM
- 22L. MichalF
- 28H. Van der BruggenM
- 82Louis ColmanD
- 7Abdoul OuattaraF
Form going into OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
- L0-3away to SK Beveren6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Gent3 September 2026
- L1-2Standard Liege29 August 2026
- L0-3Club Brugge KV15 August 2026
Cercle Brugge
- L0-3Gent6 September 2026
- L0-1Lommel United29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Club Brugge KV23 August 2026
- D3-3St. Truiden14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | OH Leuven | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 1 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge
- 12 September 2026OH Leuven 1–1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 21 December 2025OH Leuven 0–2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 8 November 2025Cercle Brugge 1–2 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- 22 December 2024Cercle Brugge 1–0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- 18 August 2024OH Leuven 1–1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 16 December 2023OH Leuven 1–2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League