Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Union St. Gilloise 5-0 Lommel United.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Union St. Gilloise, 26% draw, 19% Lommel United — fair odds of 1.82, 3.85 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Union St. Gilloise at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United
Line-ups
- 12H. KoffiG
- 5K. Mac AllisterD
- 29M. SyllaD
- 80O. KričfalušiD
- 27L. PatrisM
- 6K. Van de PerreM
- 8A. ZorganeM
- 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva CarvalhoM
- 23B. ZeneliM
- 38R. MofokengF
- 9M. BiondicF
- 1V. ChambaereG
- 20D. AquinoF
- 21D. De RoeveD
- 28D. OlaruM
- 30R. FloruczF
- 55N. HavenaarD
- 25I. HurteventF
- 14I. PavlićM
- 17R. SchoofsM
- 23Matthias PieklakG
- 2J. van DuivenD
- 4S. AdewoyeD
- 5D. WoutersD
- 79S. de GrandD
- 6J. PelupessyM
- 7J. TalvitieM
- 15L. SchoofsM
- 10T. ReynersM
- 11S. AppuahM
- 9Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah KonaduF
- 3T. EyomaD
- 46N. CorthoutsF
- 60L. Beirinckx
- 44I. Dada-MascollM
- 47T. GooijerD
- 22Đ. GordićM
- 8N. RommensM
- 1N. IvezićG
- 73A. ReumersF
Form going into Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United
Union St. Gilloise
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Charleroi5 September 2026
- W3-0away to St. Truiden2 September 2026
- W3-0Anderlecht30 August 2026
- D0-0Zulte Waregem15 August 2026
- L2-3away to Bodo/Glimt11 August 2026
Lommel United
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Club Brugge KV4 September 2026
- W1-0away to Cercle Brugge29 August 2026
- W4-0KVC Westerlo23 August 2026
- L0-1Charleroi16 August 2026
- D1-1away to St. Truiden8 August 2026
What these results say
- Union St. Gilloise scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Union St. Gilloise had three goals or more.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Lommel United had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union St. Gilloise | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 7 | +23 | 29 |
| 6 | Lommel United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United
- 11 April 2021Lommel United 0–2 Union St. GilloiseChallenger Pro League
- 27 February 2021Union St. Gilloise 3–2 Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
- 13 December 2020Lommel United 0–1 Union St. GilloiseChallenger Pro League
- 4 October 2020Union St. Gilloise 4–2 Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
- 26 January 2020Union St. Gilloise 2–2 Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
Leading scorers: Union St. Gilloise and Lommel United
Union St. Gilloise
GoalsAssists
- R. Florucz50
- R. Mofokeng42
Lommel United
GoalsAssists
- Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Union St. Gilloise beat Lommel United 5–0. The model had made a win for Union St. Gilloise its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Besfort Zeneli 3' for Union St. Gilloise, Relebohile Mofokeng 7' for Union St. Gilloise, Ilan Hurtevent 65' for Union St. Gilloise, Raul Florucz 88' for Union St. Gilloise, Raul Florucz 90+2' for Union St. Gilloise.
How the call on Union St. Gilloise v Lommel United has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 30% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 55% / 26% / 19%: the biggest move is Union St. Gilloise's chance of winning, up 12 points.
- Union St. Gilloise win55%▲ +12
- Draw26%▼ −4
- Lommel United win19%▼ −8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.