SK Beveren vs St. Truiden Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: SK Beveren 2-0 St. Truiden.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% SK Beveren, 28% draw, 33% St. Truiden — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SK Beveren at 39% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SK Beveren vs St. Truiden
Line-ups
- 1J. SchenkG
- 21L. JansD
- 35Y. GomisD
- 31B. GodeauD
- 4C. JanssensD
- 18S. DewaeleM
- 44C. CondeM
- 5C. LokesaM
- 22C. BrülsM
- 17J. MargarithaM
- 9M. KaboréF
- 77S. KellerD
- 34C. KonatéD
- 14L. KuavitaM
- 84J. LusambaG
- 92L. MertensF
- 48J. RobatschD
- 8F. SlegersM
- 2D. ThompsonD
- 24A. VerschuerenM
- 16L. KokuboG
- 60R. VanwesemaelD
- 22W. JanssensD
- 26V. MusliuD
- 3T. HataD
- 14R. MerlenM
- 8A. SissakoM
- 38K. MatsuzawaM
- 71R. ArakiM
- 10I. SebaouiM
- 9S. BaždarF
- 4K. TakaiD
- 99S. ShinkawaM
- 23J. PupeD
- 11N. MbukuF
- 27Jeremy Kandje MbambiD
- 21M. LendfersG
- 18N. IshiwatariM
- 33A. DirikenM
- 77O. DioufF
Form going into SK Beveren vs St. Truiden
SK Beveren
- W3-0OH Leuven6 September 2026
- L0-4away to Genk28 August 2026
- L0-4away to Zulte Waregem22 August 2026
- W1-0Anderlecht16 August 2026
St. Truiden
- W4-0RAAL La Louvière5 September 2026
- L0-3Union St. Gilloise2 September 2026
- W4-1away to Antwerp30 August 2026
- D3-3away to Cercle Brugge14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SK Beveren | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 | St. Truiden | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SK Beveren vs St. Truiden
- 12 September 2026SK Beveren 2–0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- 6 April 2021SK Beveren 2–4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- 28 November 2020St. Truiden 1–1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
- 30 July 2020St. Truiden 4–1 SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs
- 26 December 2019SK Beveren 1–0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- 14 September 2019St. Truiden 1–1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: SK Beveren and St. Truiden
SK Beveren
- C. Lokesa3 goals
St. Truiden
- S. Baždar4 goals
- R. Merlen3 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.