SK Beveren vs St. Truiden Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: SK Beveren 2-0 St. Truiden.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% SK Beveren, 28% draw, 33% St. Truiden — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
SK Beveren at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SK Beveren vs St. Truiden
Line-ups
- 1J. SchenkG
- 21L. JansD
- 35Y. GomisD
- 31B. GodeauD
- 4C. JanssensD
- 18S. DewaeleM
- 44C. CondeM
- 5C. LokesaM
- 22C. BrülsM
- 17J. MargarithaM
- 9M. KaboréF
- 77S. KellerD
- 34C. KonatéD
- 14L. KuavitaM
- 84J. LusambaG
- 92L. MertensF
- 48J. RobatschD
- 8F. SlegersM
- 2D. ThompsonD
- 24A. VerschuerenM
- 16L. KokuboG
- 60R. VanwesemaelD
- 22W. JanssensD
- 26V. MusliuD
- 3T. HataD
- 14R. MerlenM
- 8A. SissakoM
- 38K. MatsuzawaM
- 71R. ArakiM
- 10I. SebaouiM
- 9S. BaždarF
- 4K. TakaiD
- 99S. ShinkawaM
- 23J. PupeD
- 11N. MbukuF
- 27Jeremy Kandje MbambiD
- 21M. LendfersG
- 18N. IshiwatariM
- 33A. DirikenM
- 77O. DioufF
Form going into SK Beveren vs St. Truiden
SK Beveren
All competitions we cover
- W3-0OH Leuven6 September 2026
- L0-4away to Genk28 August 2026
- L0-4away to Zulte Waregem22 August 2026
- W1-0Anderlecht16 August 2026
- L1-2away to Antwerp9 August 2026
St. Truiden
All competitions we cover
- W4-0RAAL La Louvière5 September 2026
- L0-3Union St. Gilloise2 September 2026
- W4-1away to Antwerp30 August 2026
- L2-4away to Omonia Nicosia27 August 2026
- W1-0Omonia Nicosia20 August 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for SK Beveren had three goals or more.
- St. Truiden scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for St. Truiden had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SK Beveren | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SK Beveren vs St. Truiden
- 6 April 2021SK Beveren 2–4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- 28 November 2020St. Truiden 1–1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
- 30 July 2020St. Truiden 4–1 SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs
- 26 December 2019SK Beveren 1–0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- 14 September 2019St. Truiden 1–1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: SK Beveren and St. Truiden
SK Beveren
GoalsAssists
- C. Lokesa50
St. Truiden
GoalsAssists
- S. Baždar50
- I. Sebaoui43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SK Beveren beat St. Truiden 2–0. The model had made a win for SK Beveren its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Chris Lokesa (penalty) 52' for SK Beveren, Jearl Margaritha 55' for SK Beveren.
How the call on SK Beveren v St. Truiden has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 34% / 28% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 39% / 28% / 33%: the biggest move is SK Beveren's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- SK Beveren win39%▲ +5
- Draw28%=
- St. Truiden win33%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.