Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Lillestrom 2-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Lillestrom, 24% draw, 31% Egnatia Rrogozhinë — fair odds of 2.22, 4.17 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa League Play-offs tie. First leg: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–0 Lillestrom (20 Aug) →
Lillestrom went through 2–1 on aggregate.
All Europa League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Lillestrom at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Line-ups
- 12P. DahlbergG
- 2L. RangerD
- 28R. GabrielsenD
- 5S. FossD
- 11F. ElkaerD
- 14G. NyheimM
- 29Y. IbrahimajM
- 17E. KitolanoM
- 26Y. PaintsilF
- 8F. GulbrandsenF
- 20Felix VaF
- 1S. HagerupG
- 50L. BabicG
- 3S. OttesenD
- 4E. B. GarnasD
- 6H. WoxenM
- 7L. AlperudM
- 10T. OlsenF
- 15G. NordhM
- 16H. MellandM
- 98M. DajsinaniG
- 55G. SmajliD
- 33E. BitriD
- 28E. SotaD
- 16E. NdrecaD
- 20K. LoukiliM
- 6A. AleksiM
- 7Fernando MedeirosM
- 10A. AlbaneseM
- 2D. AdjessaF
- 77I. GrudaM
- 1L. TandilashviliG
- 12B. PujaG
- 4Z. AliyevD
- 8I. DiabateM
- 13A. Kacbufi
- 17A. KryeziuM
- 24N. AjetovikjD
- 29A. YagoM
- 99J. MontenegroF
Form going into Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Lillestrom
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Egnatia Rrogozhinë20 August 2026
- D1-1away to KFUM Oslo15 August 2026
- L0-2Rosenborg9 August 2026
- L0-4away to Bodo/Glimt31 July 2026
- L1-2Viking22 July 2026
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Lillestrom20 August 2026
- W5-1Shamrock Rovers13 August 2026
- L1-3away to Shamrock Rovers4 August 2026
- D1-1away to Celje28 July 2026
- D3-3Celje22 July 2026
What these results say
- Lillestrom did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Lillestrom conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Lillestrom | UEFA Europa League | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 |
| 26 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · UEFA Europa Conference League
Head-to-head: Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- 20 August 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–0 LillestromUEFA Europa League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
The result against the call
Lillestrom beat Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Lillestrom at 45%. The goals: E. Sota 32' for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, S. Foss 82' for Lillestrom, T. Olsen 94' for Lillestrom.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.