Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Lillestrom 2-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Lillestrom, 24% draw, 31% Egnatia Rrogozhinë — fair odds of 2.22, 4.17 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lillestrom at 45% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Lillestrom
- D1-1away to KFUM Oslo15 August 2026
- L0-2Rosenborg9 August 2026
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- D0-0Lillestrom20 August 2026
- W5-1Shamrock Rovers13 August 2026
- L1-3away to Shamrock Rovers4 August 2026
- D1-1away to Celje28 July 2026
- D3-3Celje22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lillestrom | Eliteserien | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 26 | +2 | 32 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Egnatia Rrogozhinë has not started the league season yet. Full tables: Eliteserien · UEFA Europa Conference League
Head-to-head: Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- 20 August 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–0 LillestromUEFA Europa League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Lillestrom
- Vá5 goals5 assists
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.