20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Demrozi Stadium
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 Lillestrom.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 24% draw, 38% Lillestrom — fair odds of 2.63, 4.17 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa League Play-offs tie. Second leg: Lillestrom v Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 27 Aug →

Lillestrom went through 2–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Egnatia Rrogozhinë5%Draw90%Lillestrom5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Fernando Medeiros
56'
59'
Lars Ranger
🔁D. Adjessaout: J. Montenegro
67'
67'
🔁K. Krygardout: H. Melland
🔁A. Aleksiout: I. Diabate
72'
🔁I. Grudaout: A. Kryeziu
72'
80'
🔁F. Gulbrandsenout: S. Akanji
81'
🔁Y. Paintsilout: E. Kitolano
🔁Fernando Medeirosout: N. Ajetovikj
90+1'

Match stats — Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom

51%Possession49%
4On target2
6Corners4

Line-ups

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-5-2
  • 98M. DajsinaniG
  • 28E. SotaD
  • 33E. BitriD
  • 6A. AleksiM
  • 55G. SmajliD
  • 20K. LoukiliM
  • 7Fernando MedeirosM
  • 10A. AlbaneseM
  • 29A. YagoM
  • 2D. AdjessaF
  • 77I. GrudaM
Substitutes
  • 1L. TandilashviliG
  • 4Z. AliyevD
  • 8I. DiabateM
  • 12B. PujaG
  • 13A. Kacbufi
  • 17A. KryeziuM
  • 24N. AjetovikjD
  • 99J. MontenegroF
Coach: Nevil Dede
Lillestrom 4-3-3
  • 12P. DahlbergG
  • 2L. RangerD
  • 28R. GabrielsenD
  • 5S. FossD
  • 3S. OttesenD
  • 29Y. IbrahimajM
  • 18K. KrygardM
  • 14G. NyheimM
  • 26Y. PaintsilD
  • 8F. GulbrandsenF
  • 20Felix VaF
Substitutes
  • 1S. HagerupG
  • 4E. B. GarnasD
  • 6H. WoxenM
  • 7L. AlperudM
  • 11F. ElkaerD
  • 15G. NordhM
  • 16H. MellandM
  • 17E. KitolanoM
  • 22J. KitolanoD
Coach: Hans Odegaard

Form going into Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

All competitions we cover

  • W5-1Shamrock Rovers13 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Shamrock Rovers4 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Celje28 July 2026
  • D3-3Celje22 July 2026

Lillestrom

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to KFUM Oslo15 August 2026
  • L0-2Rosenborg9 August 2026
  • L0-4away to Bodo/Glimt31 July 2026
  • L1-2Viking22 July 2026
  • W2-1KFUM Oslo18 July 2026

What these results say

  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
  • Lillestrom conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Lillestrom failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Lillestrom in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
26Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Europa Conference League302124-22
34LillestromUEFA Europa League4013210-81

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · UEFA Europa League

The result against the call

Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Lillestrom drew 0–0.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.