27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Kaunas
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 Beşiktaş.

Before kick-off the model made it 8% Kauno Žalgiris, 15% draw, 77% Beşiktaş — fair odds of 12.50, 6.67 and 1.30.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa League Play-offs tie. First leg: Beşiktaş 3–0 Kauno Žalgiris (20 Aug) →

Beşiktaş went through 3–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Beşiktaş at 77%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kauno Žalgiris92%Draw8%Beşiktaş0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Anthony Kalik
28'
🔁G. Debeljuhout: Renan Oliveira
46'
🔁I. Fiolicout: F. Baldassarra
56'
🔁Leo Ribeiroout: L. Krekovic
56'
⚽Renan Oliveiraassist: D. Mikelionis
64'
65'
🔁V. Cernyout: M. Rashica
65'
🔁D. Vlahovicout: Oh Hyeon-Gyu
65'
🔁J. Olaitanout: S. Kilicsoy
🔁A. Kalikout: A. Benchaib
69'
🔁Y. Karashimaout: V. Slivka
80'
85'
Kartal Kayra Yılmaz
86'
🔁I. Fakiliout: A. Hadziahmetovic
86'
🔁K. Kayra Yilmazout: A. S. Bircan

Match stats — Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş

29%Possession71%
2On target4
2Corners5

Line-ups

Kauno Žalgiris 4-1-4-1
  • 22D. MikelionisG
  • 45J. MoutachyD
  • 77R. LekiatasD
  • 23A. HernandezD
  • 37N. Iyobosa EdokpolorD
  • 8Y. KarashimaM
  • 70F. OuregaM
  • 17I. FiolicM
  • 20A. KalikM
  • 15Leo RibeiroM
  • 27G. DebeljuhF
Substitutes
  • 55T. SvedkauskasG
  • 33M. KonatarD
  • 62L. I. KastratiD
  • 14V. SlivkaM
  • 32F. BaldassarraM
  • 10G. SirgedasM
  • 7A. BenchaibF
  • 19Renan OliveiraF
  • 9L. KrekovicM
Coach: Eivinas Cerniauskas
Beşiktaş 4-3-3
  • 1A. NubelG
  • 29I. FakiliM
  • 53E. TopcuD
  • 35T. DjaloD
  • 62M. MurilloD
  • 11K. OuattaraD
  • 6S. OzcanM
  • 15J. OlaitanM
  • 18V. CernyM
  • 28D. VlahovicF
  • 8K. Kayra YilmazM
Substitutes
  • 80D. AlemdarG
  • 12E. AgbadouD
  • 22T. BulutD
  • 58Y. OzcanD
  • 33R. YilmazD
  • 4W. NdidiM
  • 5A. HadziahmetovicM
  • 10O. KokcuM
  • 7M. RashicaM
Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Form going into Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş

Kauno Žalgiris

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to Beşiktaş20 August 2026
  • L1-2Dinamo Zagreb11 August 2026
  • L0-5away to Dinamo Zagreb4 August 2026
  • W1-0KI Klaksvik29 July 2026
  • D0-0away to KI Klaksvik21 July 2026

Beşiktaş

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Alanyaspor23 August 2026
  • W3-0Kauno Žalgiris20 August 2026
  • W1-0Eyüpspor16 August 2026
  • W1-0Hradec Králové13 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Hradec Králové6 August 2026

What these results say

  • Kauno Žalgiris failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Beşiktaş won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Beşiktaş scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Beşiktaş kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Kauno Žalgiris and Beşiktaş in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
36Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Europa Conference League3003111-100
8BeşiktaşUEFA Europa League4211118+37

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · UEFA Europa League

Head-to-head: Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş

  • 20 August 2026Beşiktaş 3–0 Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Europa League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

Leading scorers: Kauno Žalgiris and Beşiktaş

Kauno Žalgiris

No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.

Beşiktaş

GoalsAssists

  • J. Olaitan23
  • Oh Hyeon-Gyu21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Kauno Žalgiris beat Beşiktaş 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Beşiktaş at 77% and given a win for Kauno Žalgiris 8%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 13 matches like this one. The goal: Renan Oliveira 64' for Kauno Žalgiris.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.