Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Omonia Nicosia 4-2 St. Truiden.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Omonia Nicosia, 28% draw, 43% St. Truiden — fair odds of 3.45, 3.57 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa League Play-offs tie. First leg: St. Truiden 1–0 Omonia Nicosia (20 Aug) →
Omonia Nicosia went through 4–3 on aggregate.
All Europa League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
St. Truiden at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden
Line-ups
- 40FabianoG
- 93J. DuverneD
- 5S. CoulibalyD
- 30N. PanagiotouD
- 29J. BalkovecD
- 22M. TankovicM
- 14M. MaricM
- 74P. AndreouM
- 11Costa EwandroM
- 99L. DionyF
- 7J. MontnorM
- 78P. MichailG
- 23F. UzohoG
- 37L. SatkaD
- 27S. SimicD
- 77L. NegoD
- 90C. KonstantinidisD
- 82A. Christou
- 31I. KousoulosM
- 10A. ChatzigiovanisM
- 16L. KokuboG
- 26V. MusliuD
- 5S. TaniguchiD
- 23J. PupeD
- 60R. VanwesemaelD
- 14R. MerlenM
- 8A. SissakoM
- 18N. IshiwatariM
- 7A. MujaM
- 10I. SebaouiM
- 9S. BazdarF
- 21M. LendfersG
- 35Y. NgoyG
- 33A. DirikenM
- 39R. VerheydenD
- 3T. HataD
- 71R. ArakiM
- 38K. MatsuzawaF
- 31I. BenachourM
- 22W. JanssensD
Form going into Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden
Omonia Nicosia
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to St. Truiden20 August 2026
- W1-0Lincoln Red Imps FC13 August 2026
- D1-1away to Lincoln Red Imps FC6 August 2026
- L0-1away to Kairat Almaty29 July 2026
- W1-0Kairat Almaty22 July 2026
St. Truiden
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Omonia Nicosia20 August 2026
- D3-3away to Cercle Brugge14 August 2026
- D1-1Lommel United8 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for Omonia Nicosia had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden
- 20 August 2026St. Truiden 1–0 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Omonia Nicosia and St. Truiden
Omonia Nicosia
GoalsAssists
- L. Diony50
St. Truiden
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Omonia Nicosia beat St. Truiden 4–2. The model had leaned towards a win for St. Truiden at 43% and given a win for Omonia Nicosia 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: L. Diony (penalty) 16' for Omonia Nicosia, L. Diony 29' for Omonia Nicosia, I. Sebaoui (penalty) 33' for St. Truiden, L. Diony 50' for Omonia Nicosia, N. Panagiotou 82' for Omonia Nicosia, I. Sebaoui 90' for St. Truiden.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.