Lyngby
vs
Viborg
Superliga prediction
Our model says: Lyngby 1–2 Viborg
The model makes it 27% Lyngby, 25% draw, 48% Viborg — fair odds of 3.70, 4.00 and 2.08.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Lyngby 1.29, Viborg 1.90.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Edge to Viborg: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Lyngby's rating is built from 14 Danish Superliga matches and Viborg's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 470 matches.
Key facts
- Lyngby are 10th on 11 points from 14 games; Viborg are 3rd on 26 points from 14 games — Superliga.
- Lyngby have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Silkeborg.
- Viborg have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Odense.
- Last 6 meetings: Lyngby 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 4 September 2026, ended Viborg 0–2 Lyngby.
More Danish Superliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Lyngby vs Viborg
Has the model earned this number?
Viborg at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Lyngby vs Viborg
Lyngby
Superliga
- L0-1away to Silkeborg6 November 2026
- W2-1Randers FC30 October 2026
- L2-3away to FC Midtjylland25 October 2026
- D3-3FC Nordsjaelland18 October 2026
- L2-5away to Brondby11 October 2026
Viborg
Superliga
- W2-1away to Odense7 November 2026
- W1-0AC Horsens1 November 2026
- L1-2away to Aarhus25 October 2026
- L1-2FC Midtjylland19 October 2026
- W2-0away to Randers FC11 October 2026
What these results say
- Lyngby conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Lyngby failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lyngby scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Viborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lyngby | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 11 |
| 3 | Viborg | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Lyngby vs Viborg
- 4 September 2026Viborg 0–2 LyngbySuperliga
- 4 May 2025Lyngby 0–0 ViborgSuperliga
- 21 April 2025Viborg 1–1 LyngbySuperliga
- 20 October 2024Lyngby 0–0 ViborgSuperliga
- 26 August 2024Viborg 1–0 LyngbySuperliga
- 20 May 2024Lyngby 3–1 ViborgSuperliga
Leading scorers: Lyngby and Viborg
Lyngby
GoalsAssists
- S. Colyn53
Viborg
GoalsAssists
- Dorian Hanza61
- M. Søndergaard43
- C. Nouck33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Lyngby a 0% chance of the title and Viborg 2.5%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Viborg the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.29 expected goals for Lyngby against 1.90 for Viborg. Lyngby's attack/defence rating is 0.68/1.66 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.76/1.08 for Viborg.
How the model reaches 48% for Viborg to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Viborg to win. Then home advantage takes away 4 points, Lyngby's ratings add 8 points and Viborg's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 48%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage33%−4
- Lyngby's ratings41%+8
- Viborg's ratings48%+7
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Lyngby at home · Viborg away
League matches only, Superliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
LyngbyViborg
Lyngby are 10th after 14 Superliga matches (between 8th and 12th so far); Viborg are 3rd after 14 (between 1st and 5th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Superliga matches this season: Lyngby 14, Viborg 14.
Lyngby score most often in the 61–75 minute window (6 goals); Viborg have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Lyngby
- at FC Nordsjaelland6 Dec · Superligawin 18%
- vs Brondby21 Feb · Superligawin 29%
- at Odense28 Feb · Superligawin 27%
- vs AC Horsens7 Mar · Superligawin 33%
Viborg
- vs Sonderjyske7 Dec · Superligawin 56%
- at FC Copenhagen21 Feb · Superligawin 25%
- vs Silkeborg28 Feb · Superligawin 57%
- at FC Midtjylland7 Mar · Superligawin 24%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.