FC Copenhagen
vs
FC Midtjylland
Superliga prediction
Our model says: FC Copenhagen 2–1 FC Midtjylland
The model makes it 41% FC Copenhagen, 26% draw, 33% FC Midtjylland — fair odds of 2.44, 3.85 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: FC Copenhagen 1.71, FC Midtjylland 1.49.
Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,952 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. FC Copenhagen's rating is built from 47 Danish Superliga matches and FC Midtjylland's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 470 matches.
Key facts
- FC Copenhagen are top on 32 points from 14 games; FC Midtjylland are 2nd on 32 points from 14 games — Superliga.
- FC Copenhagen are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Brondby.
- FC Midtjylland are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Sonderjyske.
- Last 6 meetings: FC Midtjylland 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 11 October 2026, ended FC Midtjylland 2–1 FC Copenhagen.
More Danish Superliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FC Copenhagen vs FC Midtjylland
Has the model earned this number?
FC Copenhagen at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FC Copenhagen vs FC Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
- W1-0Brondby8 November 2026
- W2-0away to Sonderjyske2 November 2026
- D1-1Odense26 October 2026
- D1-1Aarhus18 October 2026
- L1-2away to FC Midtjylland11 October 2026
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
- D2-2Sonderjyske8 November 2026
- W3-2away to FC Nordsjaelland1 November 2026
- W3-2Lyngby25 October 2026
- W2-1away to Viborg19 October 2026
- W2-1FC Copenhagen11 October 2026
What these results say
- FC Copenhagen scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FC Copenhagen had two goals or fewer.
- FC Midtjylland went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- FC Midtjylland scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Midtjylland conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 12 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 29 | 17 | +12 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs FC Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen and FC Midtjylland have met 6 times in the records we hold, FC Midtjylland has won 4 of them to FC Copenhagen's 0, with 2 drawn.
The record
FC Midtjylland won the last one 2–1 on 11 Oct 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 |
| FC Midtjylland | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 |
Between them these 6 meetings produced 17 goals, an average of 2.83 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 11 Oct 2026
SuperligaFC Midtjylland 2–1 FC Copenhagen - 14 May 2026
DBU PokalenFC Copenhagen 0–1 FC Midtjylland - 8 Feb 2026
SuperligaFC Midtjylland 2–1 FC Copenhagen - 5 Oct 2025
SuperligaFC Copenhagen 1–1 FC Midtjylland - 11 May 2025
SuperligaFC Copenhagen 1–1 FC Midtjylland - 17 Apr 2025
SuperligaFC Midtjylland 4–2 FC Copenhagen
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, FC Midtjylland's attack rates 11% above FC Copenhagen's, and FC Copenhagen concede 9% fewer than FC Midtjylland. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen | 0.93 | 0.96 |
| FC Midtjylland | 1.03 | 1.05 |
Leading scorers: FC Copenhagen and FC Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen
GoalsAssists
- M. Elyounoussi72
- B. Meling51
FC Midtjylland
GoalsAssists
- F. Etim63
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC Copenhagen a 48.6% chance of the title and FC Midtjylland 48.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Copenhagen the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.71 expected goals for FC Copenhagen against 1.49 for FC Midtjylland. FC Copenhagen's attack/defence rating is 0.93/0.96 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.03/1.05 for FC Midtjylland.
How the model reaches 41% for FC Copenhagen to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for FC Copenhagen to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, FC Copenhagen's ratings change nothing and FC Midtjylland's ratings change nothing, which lands on the published 41%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage42%+5
- Both sides at this match's level41%−1
- FC Copenhagen's ratings41%±0
- FC Midtjylland's ratings41%±0
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
FC Copenhagen at home · FC Midtjylland away
League matches only, Superliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
FC CopenhagenFC Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen are 1st after 14 Superliga matches (between 1st and 5th so far); FC Midtjylland are 2nd after 14 (between 1st and 3rd). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Superliga matches this season: FC Copenhagen 14, FC Midtjylland 14.
FC Copenhagen score most often in the 31–45 minute window (7 goals); FC Midtjylland have let in 3 there.
FC Midtjylland score most often in the 61–75 minute window (7 goals); FC Copenhagen have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
FC Copenhagen
- at AC Horsens6 Dec · Superligawin 48%
- vs FC Lugano10 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 48%
- at Universitatea Craiova17 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 26%
FC Midtjylland
- vs Silkeborg6 Dec · Superligawin 69%
- at Lincoln Red Imps FC10 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 68%
- vs HNK Hajduk Split17 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 54%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.