Randers FC
vs
AC Horsens
Superliga prediction
Our model says: Randers FC 1–2 AC Horsens
The model makes it 28% Randers FC, 25% draw, 47% AC Horsens — fair odds of 3.57, 4.00 and 2.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Randers FC 1.31, AC Horsens 1.86.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, under 2.5: 39%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Edge to AC Horsens: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Randers FC's rating is built from 46 Danish Superliga matches and AC Horsens's from 14, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 470 matches.
Key facts
- Randers FC are 11th on 11 points from 14 games; AC Horsens are 7th on 16 points from 14 games — Superliga.
- Randers FC have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-6 defeat at home to FC Nordsjaelland.
- AC Horsens have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Aarhus.
- Last 6 meetings: AC Horsens 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 16 October 2026, ended AC Horsens 0–0 Randers FC.
More Danish Superliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Randers FC vs AC Horsens
Has the model earned this number?
AC Horsens at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Randers FC vs AC Horsens
Randers FC
Superliga
- L1-6FC Nordsjaelland8 November 2026
- L1-2away to Lyngby30 October 2026
- L1-3Brondby23 October 2026
- D0-0away to AC Horsens16 October 2026
- L0-2Viborg11 October 2026
AC Horsens
Superliga
- L0-2away to Aarhus8 November 2026
- L0-1away to Viborg1 November 2026
- W5-1Sonderjyske25 October 2026
- D0-0Randers FC16 October 2026
- D3-3away to Silkeborg11 October 2026
What these results say
- Randers FC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Randers FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- AC Horsens failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- AC Horsens conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Randers FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
| 7 | AC Horsens | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Randers FC vs AC Horsens
- 16 October 2026AC Horsens 0–0 Randers FCSuperliga
- 29 January 2025Randers FC 3–4 AC HorsensFriendlies Clubs
- 15 July 2023Randers FC 1–0 AC HorsensFriendlies Clubs
- 4 November 2022AC Horsens 5–1 Randers FCSuperliga
- 5 August 2022Randers FC 1–0 AC HorsensSuperliga
- 21 January 2022AC Horsens 2–1 Randers FCFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Randers FC and AC Horsens
Randers FC
GoalsAssists
- M. Themsen51
- M. Sankoh41
AC Horsens
GoalsAssists
- K. Ehibhatiomhan40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives AC Horsens the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.31 expected goals for Randers FC against 1.86 for AC Horsens. Randers FC's attack/defence rating is 0.54/1.58 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.78/1.38 for AC Horsens.
How the model reaches 47% for AC Horsens to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for AC Horsens to win. Then home advantage takes away 4 points, Randers FC's ratings add 6 points and AC Horsens's ratings add 8 points, which lands on the published 47%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage33%−4
- Randers FC's ratings39%+6
- AC Horsens's ratings47%+8
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Randers FC at home · AC Horsens away
League matches only, Superliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Randers FCAC Horsens
Randers FC are 11th after 14 Superliga matches (between 3rd and 11th so far); AC Horsens are 7th after 14 (between 5th and 12th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Superliga matches this season: Randers FC 14, AC Horsens 14.
Randers FC score most often in the 46–60 minute window (4 goals); AC Horsens have let in 5 there.
AC Horsens score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Randers FC have let in 6 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Randers FC
- at Aarhus5 Dec · Superligawin 17%
- at Silkeborg21 Feb · Superligawin 28%
- vs Sonderjyske28 Feb · Superligawin 35%
- at FC Copenhagen7 Mar · Superligawin 11%
AC Horsens
- vs FC Copenhagen6 Dec · Superligawin 27%
- at FC Nordsjaelland21 Feb · Superligawin 26%
- vs FC Midtjylland28 Feb · Superligawin 27%
- at Lyngby7 Mar · Superligawin 43%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.