7 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm Allsvenskan prediction & result

Eleda Stadion
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Malmo FF 0-0 AIK Stockholm.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Malmo FF, 26% draw, 36% AIK Stockholm — fair odds of 2.63, 3.85 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Malmo FF at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Malmo FF5%Draw90%AIK Stockholm5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

45'
🔁Sixten Gustafssonout: Amel Mujanić
62'
Mads Thychosen
Sead Hakšabanović
62'
🔁Daniel Gudjohnsenout: Mayckel Lahdo
65'
🔁Theodor Lundberghout: Jovan Milosavljević
65'
71'
🔁Yannick Emilio Geigerout: Lucas Assadi
71'
🔁Mads Thychosenout: Eskil Smidesang Edh
86'
🔁Linus Carlstrandout: linus jareteg
🔁kenan busuladzicout: Isaac Assibu
86'
🔁Busanelloout: Noah Åstrand John
86'
88'
Amel Mujanić
🔁Otto Rosengrenout: Viggo Jeppsson
90+5'

Match stats — Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm

61%Possession39%
20Shots12
6On target3
9Corners3

Line-ups

Malmo FF 4-3-3
  • 1R. OlsenG
  • 17J. Stryger LarsenD
  • 5A. ĐurićD
  • 2S. GregersenD
  • 25BusanelloD
  • 7O. RosengrenM
  • 37A. SkogmarM
  • 47Theodor LundberghM
  • 40K. BusuladžićF
  • 32D. GuðjohnsenF
  • 29S. HakšabanovićF
Substitutes
  • 39Isaac AssibuF
  • 27J. DahlinG
  • 6Y. KarabelyovM
  • 4B. KurtulusD
  • 15Mayckel LahdoF
  • 28J. MilosavljevićM
  • 44M. PålssonD
  • 23N. Åstrand JohnD
  • 42V. JeppssonM
Coach: G. Helstrup
AIK Stockholm 4-4-2
  • 15K. NordfeldtG
  • 17M. ThychosenD
  • 34W. OlofssonD
  • 3H. MatthysD
  • 5L. BergquistD
  • 46Yannick GeigerM
  • 8J. HoveM
  • 18A. AliM
  • 48A. KouameM
  • 16Sixten GustafssonF
  • 9L. CarlstrandF
Substitutes
  • 49O. PukelisD
  • 30K. JoelssonG
  • 28L. JäretegM
  • 20S. HausnerD
  • 2E. EdhD
  • 7A. MujanićM
  • 47L. CamaraD
  • 10L. AssadiM
  • 42Muslim SultygovF
Coach: Jose Riveiro

Form going into Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm

Malmo FF

  • W1-0away to Sirius31 August 2026
  • L0-3Djurgardens IF24 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Gais16 August 2026

AIK Stockholm

  • W3-2Hammarby FF30 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Djurgardens IF16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Malmo FF2110383731+633
7AIK Stockholm219663032-233

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm

  • 7 September 2026Malmo FF 0–0 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
  • 27 April 2026AIK Stockholm 0–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
  • 22 May 2025Malmo FF 0–0 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
  • 14 April 2025AIK Stockholm 0–0 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
  • 15 September 2024AIK Stockholm 0–0 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
  • 28 April 2024Malmo FF 5–0 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Malmo FF and AIK Stockholm

Malmo FF

  • E. Botheim10 goals3 assists

AIK Stockholm

No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 30 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.