Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Malmo FF 0-0 AIK Stockholm.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Malmo FF, 26% draw, 36% AIK Stockholm — fair odds of 2.63, 3.85 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Malmo FF at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm
Line-ups
- 1R. OlsenG
- 17J. Stryger LarsenD
- 5A. ĐurićD
- 2S. GregersenD
- 25BusanelloD
- 7O. RosengrenM
- 37A. SkogmarM
- 47Theodor LundberghM
- 40K. BusuladžićF
- 32D. GuðjohnsenF
- 29S. HakšabanovićF
- 39Isaac AssibuF
- 27J. DahlinG
- 6Y. KarabelyovM
- 4B. KurtulusD
- 15Mayckel LahdoF
- 28J. MilosavljeviÄM
- 44M. PålssonD
- 23N. Åstrand JohnD
- 42V. JeppssonM
- 15K. NordfeldtG
- 17M. ThychosenD
- 34W. OlofssonD
- 3H. MatthysD
- 5L. BergquistD
- 46Yannick GeigerM
- 8J. HoveM
- 18A. AliM
- 48A. KouameM
- 16Sixten GustafssonF
- 9L. CarlstrandF
- 49O. PukelisD
- 30K. JoelssonG
- 28L. JäretegM
- 20S. HausnerD
- 2E. EdhD
- 7A. MujanićM
- 47L. CamaraD
- 10L. AssadiM
- 42Muslim SultygovF
Form going into Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Sirius31 August 2026
- L0-3Djurgardens IF24 August 2026
- W1-0away to Gais16 August 2026
- L1-2Degerfors IF9 August 2026
- W2-1away to IF Brommapojkarna2 August 2026
AIK Stockholm
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Hammarby FF30 August 2026
- W3-1away to Djurgardens IF16 August 2026
- W4-3away to Orgryte IS8 August 2026
- L0-3Orgryte IS2 August 2026
- D0-0away to BK Hacken27 July 2026
What these results say
- Malmo FF scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- AIK Stockholm conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for AIK Stockholm had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Malmo FF | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 36 | +6 | 41 |
| 8 | AIK Stockholm | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm
- 27 April 2026AIK Stockholm 0–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 22 May 2025Malmo FF 0–0 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
- 14 April 2025AIK Stockholm 0–0 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 15 September 2024AIK Stockholm 0–0 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 28 April 2024Malmo FF 5–0 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Malmo FF and AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
GoalsAssists
- E. Botheim103
AIK Stockholm
GoalsAssists
- J. Hove113
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Malmo FF and AIK Stockholm drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Malmo FF at 38% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
How the call on Malmo FF v AIK Stockholm has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 33% / 26% / 41% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 38% / 26% / 36%: the biggest move is Malmo FF's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Malmo FF win38%▲ +5
- Draw26%=
- AIK Stockholm win36%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.