6 September 2026, 12:00 UTC

Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF Allsvenskan prediction & result

Gamla Ullevi
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Orgryte IS 1-1 Hammarby FF.

Before kick-off the model made it 27% Orgryte IS, 28% draw, 45% Hammarby FF — fair odds of 3.70, 3.57 and 2.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Hammarby FF at 45% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Orgryte IS3%Draw92%Hammarby FF5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽william hofvander
10'
18'
⚽Victor Lind (pen)
60'
🔁Oscar Johanssonout: Nahir Besara
🔁Anton Andreassonout: Viktor Ekblom
67'
🔁william hofvanderout: David Obou
75'
75'
🔁Paulos Abrahamout: Suwaibou Kebbeh
75'
🔁Noah Karl Anders Perssonout: Oscar Steinke Brånby
90+1'
Victor Eriksson
🔁Daniel Paulsonout: michael parker
90+4'
90+6'
markus karlsson
🔁Christoffer Styffeout: Jonathan Azulay
90+8'

Match stats — Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF

29%Possession71%
2Shots24
1On target10
2Corners8

Line-ups

Orgryte IS 3-4-3
  • 44H. GustafssonG
  • 33S. LagerlundD
  • 25J. HammarD
  • 5C. StyffeD
  • 18A. AnderssonM
  • 23O. Parker-PriceM
  • 8B. LaturnusM
  • 19A. AndreassonM
  • 14D. PaulsonF
  • 17W. HofvanderF
  • 22T. SanaF
Substitutes
  • 2M. ParkerD
  • 32Viktor EkblomF
  • 6M. DyrestamD
  • 16H. DahlqvistD
  • 3J. AzulayD
  • 15Jerome Tibbling UgwoF
  • 7C. VindehallM
  • 11David ObouF
  • 34A. RahmG
Coach: A. Holmberg
Hammarby FF 4-3-3
  • 1W. HahnG
  • 2E. SkoglundD
  • 4V. ErikssonD
  • 3F. WintherD
  • 16N. PerssonD
  • 11O. JohanssonM
  • 8M. KarlssonM
  • 28F. AdjeiM
  • 26M. MadjedF
  • 7P. AbrahamF
  • 9V. LindF
Substitutes
  • 5T. TekieM
  • 20N. BesaraM
  • 6I. FofanaD
  • 45F. JakobssonM
  • 30S. KebbehF
  • 24W. ReneckeD
  • 15O. HagenF
  • 31O. Steinke BranbyD
Coach: H. Rydström

Form going into Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF

Orgryte IS

  • L0-1away to IFK Goteborg30 August 2026
  • D1-1Halmstad22 August 2026
  • L1-3away to IF Brommapojkarna16 August 2026

Hammarby FF

  • L2-3away to AIK Stockholm30 August 2026
  • W2-0Gais23 August 2026
  • W4-0away to Kalmar FF16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Orgryte IS2136122447-2315
3Hammarby FF2112454820+2840

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF

  • 6 September 2026Orgryte IS 1–1 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
  • 18 April 2026Hammarby FF 8–1 Orgryte ISAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Orgryte IS and Hammarby FF

Orgryte IS

  • N. Christoffersson8 goals1 assists

Hammarby FF

  • P. Abraham13 goals3 assists
  • V. Lind9 goals11 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.