Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Orgryte IS 1-1 Hammarby FF.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Orgryte IS, 28% draw, 45% Hammarby FF — fair odds of 3.70, 3.57 and 2.22.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Hammarby FF at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF
Line-ups
- 44H. GustafssonG
- 33S. LagerlundD
- 25J. HammarD
- 5C. StyffeD
- 18A. AnderssonM
- 23O. Parker-PriceM
- 8B. LaturnusM
- 19A. AndreassonM
- 14D. PaulsonF
- 17W. HofvanderF
- 22T. SanaF
- 2M. ParkerD
- 32Viktor EkblomF
- 6M. DyrestamD
- 16H. DahlqvistD
- 3J. AzulayD
- 15Jerome Tibbling UgwoF
- 7C. VindehallM
- 11David ObouF
- 34A. RahmG
- 1W. HahnG
- 2E. SkoglundD
- 4V. ErikssonD
- 3F. WintherD
- 16N. PerssonD
- 11O. JohanssonM
- 8M. KarlssonM
- 28F. AdjeiM
- 26M. MadjedF
- 7P. AbrahamF
- 9V. LindF
- 5T. TekieM
- 20N. BesaraM
- 6I. FofanaD
- 45F. JakobssonM
- 30S. KebbehF
- 24W. ReneckeD
- 15O. HagenF
- 31O. Steinke BranbyD
Form going into Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF
Orgryte IS
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to IFK Goteborg30 August 2026
- D1-1Halmstad22 August 2026
- L1-3away to IF Brommapojkarna16 August 2026
- L3-4AIK Stockholm8 August 2026
- W3-0away to AIK Stockholm2 August 2026
Hammarby FF
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to AIK Stockholm30 August 2026
- W2-0Gais23 August 2026
- W4-0away to Kalmar FF16 August 2026
- L0-1Raków Częstochowa13 August 2026
- W3-0BK Hacken9 August 2026
What these results say
- Orgryte IS failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Orgryte IS scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Orgryte IS conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hammarby FF scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 20 |
| 1 | Hammarby FF | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 60 | 23 | +37 | 58 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF
- 18 April 2026Hammarby FF 8–1 Orgryte ISAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Orgryte IS and Hammarby FF
Orgryte IS
GoalsAssists
- N. Christoffersson81
Hammarby FF
GoalsAssists
- P. Abraham174
- V. Lind1013
- M. Madjed82
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Orgryte IS and Hammarby FF drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Hammarby FF at 45% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: william hofvander 10' for Orgryte IS, Victor Lind (penalty) 18' for Hammarby FF.
How the call on Orgryte IS v Hammarby FF has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 29% / 29% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 27% / 28% / 45%: the biggest move is Hammarby FF's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Orgryte IS win27%▼ −2
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Hammarby FF win45%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.