Meshakhte vs Rustavi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Meshakhte 0-1 Rustavi.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Meshakhte, 34% draw, 32% Rustavi — fair odds of 2.94, 2.94 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Erovnuli Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Meshakhte at 34%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Meshakhte vs Rustavi
Line-ups
- 29L. ShovnadzeG
- 26B. GabiskiriaD
- 31Eric PimentelD
- 38I. ZotkoD
- 40L. UgrekhelidzeD
- 16G. GegiaD
- 7E. JijavadzeM
- 27G. KantariaM
- 22T. ŠikaloM
- 13G. BurduliD
- 9I. SikharulidzeF
- 24S. Chkhetiani
- 10G. GogolashviliF
- 8G. JamarauliM
- 20L. KurdadzeD
- 11M. KvirkviaF
- 18T. PatsatsiaM
- 30M. PyrogovM
- 23B. ShubitidzeM
- 1L. TkeshelashviliG
- 21P. BeruashviliG
- 27M. KapanadzeD
- 4DavidD
- 24I. IakobidzeD
- 2S. AndghuladzeD
- 22Y. NakanoM
- 13A. GujabidzeM
- 7K. S. AbdulM
- 9JeanF
- 10P. OseiF
- 20L. ParkadzeM
- 5Kevin William CeijasF
- 19N. ChikovaniD
- 23M. GambošM
- 18N. JaparidzeF
- 16Guri KakabadzeF
- 8K. KakashviliM
- 1S. KardavaG
- 3V. PatsatsiaD
- 40D. UbilavaD
Form going into Meshakhte vs Rustavi
Meshakhte
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Dinamo Tbilisi10 September 2026
- D2-2Spaeri5 September 2026
- W2-0away to Torpedo Kutaisi31 August 2026
Rustavi
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Spaeri9 September 2026
- L0-1Dinamo Batumi4 September 2026
- D1-1away to Samgurali30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Meshakhte | 32 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 25 | 53 | -28 | 20 |
| 4 | Rustavi | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 28 | +12 | 56 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Meshakhte vs Rustavi
- 13 June 2026Rustavi 1–0 MeshakhteErovnuli Liga
- 22 April 2026Meshakhte 0–0 RustaviErovnuli Liga
- 6 December 2025Rustavi 1–2 MeshakhteErovnuli Liga 2
- 5 October 2025Meshakhte 1–3 RustaviErovnuli Liga 2
- 11 August 2025Rustavi 1–0 MeshakhteErovnuli Liga 2
The result against the call
Rustavi won 1–0 at Meshakhte. The goal: Luka·Parkadze 45' for Rustavi.
How the call on Meshakhte v Rustavi has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 34% / 32% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 34% / 34% / 32%: the biggest move is Rustavi's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Meshakhte win34%=
- Draw34%▲ +2
- Rustavi win32%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.