Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Torpedo Kutaisi 3-2 Samgurali.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Torpedo Kutaisi, 29% draw, 29% Samgurali — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Torpedo Kutaisi at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali
Line-ups
- 1O. GoshadzeG
- 15L. KupravaD
- 22D. BukiaD
- 4M. ŠimićD
- 33M. StamatovD
- 11G. ArabidzeM
- 8M. ItrakM
- 17N. LominadzeM
- 14Felipe PiresF
- 35D. DeisadzeM
- 9K. AndrićF
- 25G. GergedavaM
- 13G. KatkovD
- 28Nika KhatoyanF
- 31F. KljajićG
- 24L. LatsabidzeD
- 5T. NadaraiaD
- 39V. PinsonF
- 20D. SkorupM
- 29M. ChitaishviliM
- 21A. SiukaevG
- 13L. GegetchkoriD
- 4O. PatarkatsishviliD
- 25M. ShatirishviliD
- 27L. ShergelashviliD
- 20Vinicius ViannaM
- 10L. GilmoreM
- 11D. KrasovskiF
- 15Gean CarlosF
- 9T. GaprindashviliF
- 19I. SiradzeF
- 28Cláudio CebolinhaF
- 22G. GogiaD
- 14T. GoletianiM
- 26Z. IashviliM
- 12A. KasradzeG
- 7N. KhorkheliF
- 39RyanD
- 17N. TsetskhladzeF
- 8I. BidzinashviliM
Form going into Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Gagra10 September 2026
- D1-1Dinamo Tbilisi6 September 2026
- L0-2Meshakhte31 August 2026
Samgurali
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Dila9 September 2026
- L1-2away to FC Iberia 19995 September 2026
- D1-1Rustavi30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 44 | +9 | 43 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 39 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali
- 13 June 2026Samgurali 2–1 Torpedo KutaisiErovnuli Liga
- 21 April 2026Torpedo Kutaisi 6–1 SamguraliErovnuli Liga
- 24 January 2026Torpedo Kutaisi 2–1 SamguraliFriendlies Clubs
- 22 November 2025Samgurali 2–4 Torpedo KutaisiErovnuli Liga
- 13 September 2025Torpedo Kutaisi 6–2 SamguraliErovnuli Liga
Leading scorers: Torpedo Kutaisi and Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
GoalsAssists
- K. Andrić82
- G. Arabidze58
- Felipe Pires30
Samgurali
No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 43 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Torpedo Kutaisi beat Samgurali 3–2. The model had made a win for Torpedo Kutaisi its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Irakli Siradze 4' for Samgurali, Giorgi Arabidze 22' for Torpedo Kutaisi, Komnen Andrić 26' for Torpedo Kutaisi, Nodar Lominadze 67' for Torpedo Kutaisi, Omar patarkatsishvili 90+5' for Samgurali.