Inter Turku vs VPS Finnish Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Inter Turku 1-0 VPS.
Before kick-off the model made it 58% Inter Turku, 24% draw, 18% VPS — fair odds of 1.72, 4.17 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Finnish Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Inter Turku at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Inter Turku vs VPS
Line-ups
- 1E. HuuhtanenG
- 18S. SaarinenD
- 22L. KuittinenD
- 6R. IvanovD
- 2J. NiskaD
- 14J. LaineM
- 17B. AmpofoM
- 7H. SjogrellM
- 8J. Yli-KokkoM
- 16C. JephtaF
- 10A. Conteh
- 12E. VuorjokiG
- 5A. GranlundD
- 30Y. AmankwahD
- 4P. AhiabuM
- 19I. JarvinenM
- 24J. TauriainenD
- 11J. BotueF
- 34L. ProkopF
- 33M. SusoM
- 41M. JallohG
- 23M. NiemiD
- 6E. OkerekeD
- 19M. HaukiojaD
- 13O. OgunniyiM
- 2L. ManeD
- 3R. SimpsonD
- 7J. TurfkruierM
- 8P. LimaM
- 24Y. DaoussiM
- 27K. Kouassivi-BenissanM
- 12L. VayrynenG
- 21A. Adu-BoahenD
- 14S. LindholmM
- 26R. ForsbackaM
- 30J. VahteraM
- 34A. RaisanenM
- 17D. TerrnavaM
- 9C. HolmelundF
- 20X. OdhiamboF
Form going into Inter Turku vs VPS
Inter Turku
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to HJK Helsinki9 September 2026
- W1-0KuPS31 August 2026
- L1-4away to FC Copenhagen27 August 2026
- D0-0away to Turku PS23 August 2026
- D0-0FC Copenhagen20 August 2026
VPS
All competitions we cover
- W1-0AC Oulu8 September 2026
- L0-1Lahti31 August 2026
- W1-0away to Ilves22 August 2026
- L1-3Turku PS14 August 2026
- W3-1away to FF Jaro8 August 2026
What these results say
- Inter Turku failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- VPS scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Finnish Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Turku | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 27 | +16 | 61 |
| 6 | VPS | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Inter Turku vs VPS
- 2 August 2026VPS 0–1 Inter TurkuFinnish Premier League
- 30 June 2026VPS 2–3 Inter TurkuSuomen Cup
- 4 April 2026Inter Turku 0–0 VPSFinnish Premier League
- 31 August 2025Inter Turku 2–1 VPSFinnish Premier League
- 19 April 2025VPS 0–2 Inter TurkuFinnish Premier League
Leading scorers: Inter Turku and VPS
Inter Turku
GoalsAssists
- H. Sjögrell82
- Alie Conteh40
VPS
GoalsAssists
- L. Smyth50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Inter Turku beat VPS 1–0. The model had made a win for Inter Turku its most likely outcome, at 58%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: H. Sjogrell 70' for Inter Turku.
How the call on Inter Turku v VPS has moved
First published on 3 Sep at 55% / 26% / 19% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 58% / 24% / 18%: the biggest move is Inter Turku's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Inter Turku win58%▲ +3
- Draw24%▼ −2
- VPS win18%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.