27 October 2026, 19:00 UTC

FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam KNVB Beker prediction & result

Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven
Referee: L. Gerrets
Full time5 – 3

Final score: FC Eindhoven 5-3 FC Volendam.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% FC Eindhoven, 26% draw, 41% FC Volendam — fair odds of 3.03, 3.85 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Volendam at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
M. Amevor
⚽S. Baartmans (pen)
27'
⚽V. Besuijenassist: R. Buifrahi
32'
37'
⚽R. Niemeijerassist: D. Payne
40'
⚽R. Niemeijer
46'
🔁M. Amevorout: J. Haakmat
🔁V. Besuijenout: T. Simons
46'
⚽R. Buifrahi
55'
63'
🔁D. Bisschopsout: P. Ugwu
63'
🔁K. Wolffout: N. Doodeman
⚽S. Baartmansassist: G. Beaumont
64'
67'
⚽M. Belfqihassist: R. Niemeijer
🔁L. Nettenout: C. Essers
72'
74'
🔁N. Bukalaout: Y. el Meftahi
74'
🔁M. Belfqihout: D. Huisman
⚽J. Haakmat (OG)
78'
🔁N. Munstersout: X. Blomme
79'
🔁H. Deenenout: A. Bazdaric
79'
🔁R. Buifrahiout: R. Boon
87'
R. Boon
89'

Match stats — FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam

40%Possession60%
15Shots15
11On target5
3Corners7

Line-ups

FC Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
  • 1Jort BorgmansG
  • 17Luc NettenD
  • 44Owen RenfrumD
  • 4Junior PoortvlietD
  • 20Raf van de RietD
  • 6Guus BeaumontM
  • 14Niek MunstersM
  • 28Rayan BuifrahiM
  • 7Hugo DeenenM
  • 77Vicente BesuijenM
  • 19Siegert BaartmansF
Substitutes
  • 2Tyrese SimonsD
  • 31Niek JanssenG
  • 30Nino FancitoG
  • 23Gedion ConstanciaF
  • 22Clint EssersD
  • 13Amir BrysonF
  • 5Rens BoonD
  • 18Antonio BaždarićM
  • 8Xander BlommeM
FC Volendam 4-2-3-1
  • 16Roy SteurG
  • 12Deron PayneD
  • 25Luca BlondeauD
  • 3Mawouna AmevorD
  • 5Daan BisschopsD
  • 6Alex PlatM
  • 18Nordin BukalaM
  • 11Kayden WolffM
  • 10Reuven NiemeijerM
  • 34Mohammed BelfqihM
  • 67Frederik IhlerF
Substitutes
  • 63Jaïr HaakmatD
  • 2Precious UgwuD
  • 7Nick DoodemanF
  • 22Dion VlakG
  • 32Lex KoningG
  • 46Mika van der HorstM
  • 8Daan HuismanM
  • 21Younes Jaber el MaftahiM
  • 29Jesper TielemansF

Form going into FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam

FC Eindhoven

Eerste Divisie

  • L1-2Jong PSV U2123 October 2026
  • L0-1Vitesse16 October 2026

FC Volendam

Eerste Divisie

  • W6-2Jong Utrecht23 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Waalwijk18 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17FC Eindhoven154292032-1214
7FC Volendam157173427+722

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam

  • 10 January 2025FC Eindhoven 1–3 FC VolendamEerste Divisie
  • 25 October 2024FC Volendam 4–1 FC EindhovenEerste Divisie
  • 6 May 2022FC Volendam 2–2 FC EindhovenEerste Divisie
  • 6 August 2021FC Eindhoven 2–2 FC VolendamEerste Divisie
  • 27 February 2021FC Eindhoven 1–1 FC VolendamEerste Divisie
  • 1 November 2020FC Volendam 2–0 FC EindhovenEerste Divisie

Leading scorers: FC Eindhoven and FC Volendam

FC Eindhoven

No player in Eerste Divisie's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.

FC Volendam

GoalsAssists

  • H. Veerman142
  • R. Niemeijer52

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Eindhoven beat FC Volendam 5–3. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Volendam at 41% and given a win for FC Eindhoven 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: S. Baartmans (penalty) 27' for FC Eindhoven, V. Besuijen 32' for FC Eindhoven, R. Niemeijer 37' for FC Volendam, R. Niemeijer 40' for FC Volendam, R. Buifrahi 55' for FC Eindhoven, S. Baartmans 64' for FC Eindhoven, M. Belfqih 67' for FC Volendam, J. Haakmat (own goal) 78' for FC Eindhoven.

How the call on FC Eindhoven v FC Volendam has moved

First published on 13 Oct at 30% / 28% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 33% / 26% / 41%: the biggest move is FC Eindhoven's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. FC Eindhoven win33%▲ +3
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. FC Volendam win41%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.