20 September 2026, 15:00 UTC

MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO FC NB I prediction & result

Budapest
Full time1 – 2

Final score: MTK Budapest 1-2 Gyori ETO FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% MTK Budapest, 28% draw, 35% Gyori ETO FC — fair odds of 2.70, 3.57 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

MTK Budapest at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

MTK Budapest0%Draw5%Gyori ETO FC95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

19'
Claudiu Bumba
45'
🔁Claudiu Bumbaout: Élan Ricardo
🔁Á. Zuborout: István Bognár
45'
53'
⚽M. Szép
Ilia Beriashvili
62'
⚽István Bognár
64'
🔁Adrian Zeljkovicout: Soma Szuhodovszki
67'
🔁Mark Kerezsi Zalanout: Á Nyers
68'
🔁János Mikolay Timóteusout: Patrik kovacs
68'
Máté Pinezits
68'
70'
🔁viktor djukanovicout: Željko Gavrić
70'
🔁Norbert Urblikout: Balint Selyem
76'
🔁Luka Kulenovićout: Nicolae Rotaru
Mihály Kata
80'
81'
🔁Jewison Bennetteout: Marcell huszar
83'
⚽Peter Agbaassist: Željko Gavrić
🔁Gyorgy Komaromiout: Milán Gábo Klausz
86'
Stipe Radić
87'
90'
M. Szép

Match stats — MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO FC

57%Possession43%
21Shots20
6On target7
8Corners3

Line-ups

MTK Budapest 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. DemjénG
  • 26V. ArmalasD
  • 4I. BeriashviliD
  • 55S. RadićD
  • 13M. TimoteusD
  • 6M. KataM
  • 80Adrian ZeljkovićM
  • 11G. JurekM
  • 8A. G. ZuborM
  • 77G. KomáromiM
  • 20Zalán Márk KerezsiF
Substitutes
  • 27P. KovácsD
  • 9M. KlauszF
  • 17K. HinoraM
  • 24T. FadgyasG
  • 29S. SzuhodovszkiM
  • 2B. VarjuD
  • 7D. ZsóriF
  • 30Sámuel Barnabás BakóF
  • 37Adam NyersF
Coach: Máté Pinezits
Gyori ETO FC 4-3-2-1
  • 99S. PetrášG
  • 26Á. UmathumD
  • 37N. UrblíkD
  • 24M. KrpićD
  • 23D. ŠtefuljD
  • 14M. SzépM
  • 7P. AgbaM
  • 34V. ĐukanovićM
  • 19J. BennetteM
  • 10C. BumbaM
  • 9L. KulenovićF
Substitutes
  • 77Élan RicardoM
  • 96M. HuszárF
  • 27L. BalogunD
  • 90K. BánátiM
  • 20B. BíróD
  • 64D. BrecskaG
  • 80Ž. GavrićF
  • 2Ș. VlădoiuD
  • 29N. RotaruF
Coach: E. Juárez

Form going into MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO FC

MTK Budapest

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Kisvarda FC5 September 2026
  • D2-2away to Debreceni VSC28 August 2026
  • W2-1Nyiregyhaza22 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Ujpest15 August 2026
  • L2-3Puskas Academy7 August 2026

Gyori ETO FC

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2Budapest Honved6 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Kisvarda FC30 August 2026
  • W3-0Zalaegerszegi TE23 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Debreceni VSC16 August 2026
  • D1-1Riga13 August 2026

What these results say

  • MTK Budapest scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • MTK Budapest conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for MTK Budapest.
  • Gyori ETO FC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Gyori ETO FC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Gyori ETO FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10MTK Budapest133461827-913
3Gyori ETO FC136522215+723

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO FC

  • 13 March 2026Gyori ETO FC 0–0 MTK BudapestNB I
  • 29 November 2025Gyori ETO FC 3–0 MTK BudapestNB I
  • 17 August 2025MTK Budapest 2–7 Gyori ETO FCNB I
  • 29 March 2025Gyori ETO FC 2–1 MTK BudapestNB I
  • 23 November 2024MTK Budapest 2–2 Gyori ETO FCNB I

Leading scorers: MTK Budapest and Gyori ETO FC

MTK Budapest

GoalsAssists

  • G. Jurek71
  • Zalán Márk Kerezsi43

Gyori ETO FC

GoalsAssists

  • V. Đukanović40
  • L. Kulenović32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Gyori ETO FC won 2–1 at MTK Budapest. The model had leaned towards a win for MTK Budapest at 37% and given a win for Gyori ETO FC 35%. The goals: M. Szép 53' for Gyori ETO FC, István Bognár 64' for MTK Budapest, Peter Agba 83' for Gyori ETO FC.

How the call on MTK Budapest v Gyori ETO FC has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 37% / 28% / 35%: the biggest move is Gyori ETO FC's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. MTK Budapest win37%▼ −4
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. Gyori ETO FC win35%▲ +5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.