19 September 2026, 17:30 UTC

Debreceni VSC vs Vasas NB I prediction & result

Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
Full time2 – 4

Final score: Debreceni VSC 2-4 Vasas.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Debreceni VSC, 31% draw, 31% Vasas — fair odds of 2.63, 3.23 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Debreceni VSC at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Debreceni VSC3%Draw94%Vasas3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Ákos Szendreiassist: Vilmos Csanad Denes
4'
⚽Bence Batikassist: Imre egri
10'
21'
Dániel Csóka
44'
⚽Márk Koszta
45+2'
Sandor Hidi
56'
🔁Szabolcs Mezeiout: B. Rab
Bence Batik
57'
•Balazs Dzsudzsak
60'
61'
⚽Bence Pávkovicsassist: Milan Tóth
🔁Imre egriout: Sohan Baldoni
62'
🔁Ákos Szendreiout: Bryan Adinany
62'
69'
Márk Kovácsréti
Ádám Lang
73'
80'
Bence Pávkovics
•Bryan Adinany
83'
86'
🔁Márk Kovácsrétiout: Rajmund horvath
86'
🔁Márk Kosztaout: Bence Janos Petho
90+1'
⚽Bence Janos Pethoassist: Rajmund horvath
🔁Adrián Guerrero Aguilarout: Rotem Keller
90+1'
90+4'
🔁Jozef Urblíkout: Kenneth Otigba
Vilmos Csanad Denes
90+5'
gergo tercza
90+6'
90+7'
Milan Tóth
90+8'
⚽Milan Tóthassist: B. Rab

Match stats — Debreceni VSC vs Vasas

49%Possession51%
11Shots15
6On target6
4Corners3

Line-ups

Debreceni VSC 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. AndreevG
  • 23G. TerczaD
  • 5B. BatikD
  • 26Á. LangD
  • 3Adrián GuerreroD
  • 6B. BoškovićM
  • 75D. PataiM
  • 24I. EgriM
  • 10B. DzsudzsákM
  • 97C. DenesM
  • 11Á. SzendreiF
Substitutes
  • 25S. BaldoniF
  • 99F. CiblaM
  • 12B. ErdélyiG
  • 28M. HofmannD
  • 66J. JannehM
  • 72R. KellerD
  • 19D. KocsisM
  • 4J. MejíasD
  • 16Sergi SamperM
Coach: Gert Remmel
Vasas 4-2-3-1
  • 87M. EngediG
  • 4B. PávkovicsD
  • 57P. IyinborD
  • 17Dániel CsókaD
  • 22Viktor HeiD
  • 24S. MezeiM
  • 15S. HidiM
  • 10M. KovácsrétiM
  • 88J. UrblíkM
  • 77M. TóthM
  • 9M. KosztaF
Substitutes
  • 7A. RadóF
  • 29B. PethőF
  • 18G. PálinkásF
  • 84Rajmund HorvathF
  • 26J. UramG
  • 94B. CsekeM
  • 34K. OtigbaD
  • 8B. Banó-SzabóM
  • 46B. BarkócziF
Coach: G. Erős

Form going into Debreceni VSC vs Vasas

Debreceni VSC

All competitions we cover

  • W4-2away to Paks5 September 2026
  • D2-2MTK Budapest28 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Kisvarda FC23 August 2026
  • D1-1Gyori ETO FC16 August 2026
  • L1-5away to FC Copenhagen12 August 2026

Vasas

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2Nyiregyhaza4 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Ujpest29 August 2026
  • L0-1Puskas Academy22 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Budapest Honved14 August 2026
  • W5-0Zalaegerszegi TE8 August 2026

What these results say

  • Debreceni VSC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Debreceni VSC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Debreceni VSC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Vasas scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Vasas conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Vasas had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Debreceni VSC136432418+622
7Vasas134452019+116

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Debreceni VSC vs Vasas

  • 2 April 2023Debreceni VSC 3–1 VasasNB I
  • 6 November 2022Vasas 0–3 Debreceni VSCNB I
  • 12 August 2022Debreceni VSC 1–1 VasasNB I
  • 9 July 2022Vasas 1–0 Debreceni VSCFriendlies Clubs
  • 28 February 2021Debreceni VSC 1–2 VasasNB II

Leading scorers: Debreceni VSC and Vasas

Debreceni VSC

GoalsAssists

  • Á. Szendrei62
  • B. Dzsudzsák42
  • C. Denes33

Vasas

GoalsAssists

  • J. Urblík33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Vasas won 4–2 at Debreceni VSC. The model had leaned towards a win for Debreceni VSC at 38% and given a win for Vasas 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Ákos Szendrei 4' for Debreceni VSC, Bence Batik 10' for Debreceni VSC, Márk Koszta 44' for Vasas, Bence Pávkovics 61' for Vasas, Bence Janos Petho 90+1' for Vasas, Milan Tóth 90+8' for Vasas.

How the call on Debreceni VSC v Vasas has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 36% / 33% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 38% / 31% / 31%: the biggest move is Debreceni VSC's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Debreceni VSC win38%▲ +2
  2. Draw31%▼ −2
  3. Vasas win31%=

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.