20 September 2026, 12:45 UTC

Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE NB I prediction & result

Szusza Ferenc Stadion, Budapest
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Ujpest 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Ujpest, 27% draw, 24% Zalaegerszegi TE — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Ujpest at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ujpest6%Draw91%Zalaegerszegi TE3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Norbert Szendrei
18'
30'
⚽Danylo Krevsun
Aljosa Matko
34'
🔁Krisztofer Horvathout: Ábel Krajcsovics
45'
🔁Arne Maierout: Gleofilo Vlijter
45'
Heitor Marinho dos Santos
50'
58'
Fabricio Amato
69'
🔁Bence Babosout: Bence Kiss
🔁Etienne Amenyidoout: Muhamed Tijani
72'
🔁Mario Zekeout: Tizian Valentino Scharmer
72'
⚽Ábel Krajcsovicsassist: Gleofilo Vlijter
75'
76'
🔁Maxsuell Alegriaout: Arthur Henrique Marques Machado
76'
🔁Matheus Machadoout: Lucas Alfonso
Muhamed Tijani
85'
⚽Aljosa Matko
90+1'
🔁Matija Ljujicout: Arijan Ademi
90+3'
90+4'
🔁András Mátyás Csonkaout: Aiden Harangi
90+4'
🔁Emin Kujovicout: Fernando José Vera García

Match stats — Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE

52%Possession48%
15Shots19
9On target4
4Corners4

Line-ups

Ujpest 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. SzappanosG
  • 36Ferenc UjvaryD
  • 3HeitorD
  • 94P. StronatiD
  • 20M. ZekeD
  • 10A. MaierM
  • 8N. SzendreiM
  • 17A. MatkoM
  • 88M. LjujićM
  • 11K. HorváthM
  • 14E. AmenyidoF
Substitutes
  • 45A. AdemiM
  • 23D. BanaiG
  • 2J. BodnárD
  • 5A. FiolaD
  • 27Á. KrajcsovicsF
  • 15M. MátéM
  • 30João NunesD
  • 38K. SarkadiM
  • 21T. ScharmerM
Coach: Z. Szélesi
Zalaegerszegi TE 4-4-2
  • 1B. Gundel-TakácsG
  • 8A. CsonkaD
  • 13T. PeñalbaD
  • 33Antonio DiogoD
  • 18CalderónD
  • 74B. BabosM
  • 30F. AmatoM
  • 6E. KujovićM
  • 23MaxM
  • 9Matheus MachadoF
  • 7Danylo KrevsunF
Substitutes
  • 2Aiden Joshua HarangiD
  • 10B. KissM
  • 20M. RichardsM
  • 32L. AlfonsoF
  • 99Zeteny GaraiD
  • 3Fernando José Vera GarcíaD
  • 17Teixeira GuilhermeF
  • 47Q. TchicamboudM
  • 31Ž. MauricioG
Coach: Filipe Çelikkaya

Form going into Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE

Ujpest

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to Ferencvarosi TC6 September 2026
  • W3-1Vasas29 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Paks21 August 2026
  • D1-1MTK Budapest15 August 2026
  • W4-2away to Kisvarda FC8 August 2026

Zalaegerszegi TE

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Puskas Academy6 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Budapest Honved29 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Gyori ETO FC23 August 2026
  • L0-1Ferencvarosi TC17 August 2026
  • L0-5away to Vasas8 August 2026

What these results say

  • Ujpest conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Ujpest scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Ujpest.
  • Zalaegerszegi TE failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Zalaegerszegi TE failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Zalaegerszegi TE conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Ujpest135352120+118
9Zalaegerszegi TE134181724-713

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE

  • 21 March 2026Zalaegerszegi TE 2–0 UjpestNB I
  • 7 December 2025Ujpest 0–2 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
  • 23 August 2025Zalaegerszegi TE 1–4 UjpestNB I
  • 11 May 2025Zalaegerszegi TE 0–0 UjpestNB I
  • 16 February 2025Ujpest 1–2 Zalaegerszegi TENB I

Leading scorers: Ujpest and Zalaegerszegi TE

Ujpest

GoalsAssists

  • A. Matko63
  • E. Amenyido45
  • G. Vlijter32

Zalaegerszegi TE

GoalsAssists

  • Arthur Henrique30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ujpest beat Zalaegerszegi TE 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Ujpest at 49%. The goals: Danylo Krevsun 30' for Zalaegerszegi TE, Ábel Krajcsovics 75' for Ujpest, Aljosa Matko 90+1' for Ujpest.

How the call on Ujpest v Zalaegerszegi TE has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 53% / 27% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 49% / 27% / 24%: the biggest move is Ujpest's chance of winning, down 4 points.

  1. Ujpest win49%▼ −4
  2. Draw27%=
  3. Zalaegerszegi TE win24%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.