8 August 2026, 13:30 UTC

Vasas vs Zalaegerszegi TE NB I prediction & result

Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest
Full time5 – 0

Final score: Vasas 5-0 Zalaegerszegi TE.

Before kick-off the model made it 93% Vasas, 5% draw, 2% Zalaegerszegi TE — fair odds of 1.08, 20.00 and 50.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 4-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Vasas at 93% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vasas99%Draw1%Zalaegerszegi TE0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Kosztaassist: J. Urblik
1'
⚽J. Urblikassist: B. Rab
7'
28'
F. Amato
A. Doktorics
34'
46'
🔁Z. Garaiout: Arthur Henrique
52'
J. Peraza
54'
🔁B. Kissout: M. Rozsa
⚽M. Kosztaassist: M. Kovacsreti
56'
62'
🔁A. Csonkaout: D. Lopez
62'
🔁A. Skribekout: B. Babos
🔁D. Sztojkaout: B. Z. Bano-Szabo
76'
🔁M. Kovacsretiout: R. Horvath
76'
🔁M. Tothout: C. Molnar
76'
76'
🔁Maxsuell Alegriaout: T. Maigana
⚽R. Horvath
79'
🔁M. Kosztaout: G. Palinkas
83'
🔁B. Pavkovicsout: A. Girsik
83'
⚽J. Urblikassist: A. Doktorics
86'
90+4'
D. Lopez

Line-ups

Vasas
Coach: Gabor Eros
Zalaegerszegi TE
Coach: Filipe Celikkaya

Form going into Vasas vs Zalaegerszegi TE

Vasas

  • D0-0away to Ferencvarosi TC2 August 2026
  • D2-2Gyori ETO FC26 July 2026

Zalaegerszegi TE

  • W5-2Paks3 August 2026
  • L0-3away to MTK Budapest27 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Vasas7322139+411
12Zalaegerszegi TE7205615-96

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Vasas vs Zalaegerszegi TE

  • 8 August 2026Vasas 5–0 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
  • 11 February 2026Zalaegerszegi TE 2–1 VasasMagyar Kupa
  • 13 May 2023Vasas 1–1 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
  • 19 February 2023Zalaegerszegi TE 0–0 VasasNB I
  • 1 October 2022Vasas 1–1 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
  • 13 July 2022Vasas 1–1 Zalaegerszegi TEFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Vasas and Zalaegerszegi TE

Vasas

  • M. Kovácsréti2 goals1 assists

Zalaegerszegi TE

  • Calderón2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.