Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Saint Etienne 3-1 Clermont Foot.
Before kick-off the model made it 15% Saint Etienne, 24% draw, 61% Clermont Foot — fair odds of 6.67, 4.17 and 1.64. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Clermont Foot at 61% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot
Saint Etienne
- W3-0away to Sochaux8 August 2026
Clermont Foot
- D0-0Reims8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 15 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot
- 17 January 2026Saint Etienne 1–0 Clermont FootLigue 2
- 13 September 2025Clermont Foot 1–2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
- 20 July 2024Clermont Foot 1–1 Saint EtienneFriendlies Clubs
- 22 July 2023Saint Etienne 2–0 Clermont FootFriendlies Clubs
- 13 February 2022Clermont Foot 1–2 Saint EtienneLigue 1
- 7 November 2021Saint Etienne 3–2 Clermont FootLigue 1
Leading scorers: Saint Etienne and Clermont Foot
Saint Etienne
- I. Cardona4 goals4 assists
- T. Ballo4 goals2 assists
- A. Boakye3 goals2 assists
Clermont Foot
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.