7 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Nantes vs Nancy Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Nantes 1-0 Nancy.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% Nantes, 27% draw, 20% Nancy — fair odds of 1.89, 3.70 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Nantes at 53% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Frédéric Guilbert
12'
Grégory Poirier
20'
32'
Elydjah Mendy
32'
Kouroufia Kebe
38'
Pape Meissa Ba
38'
🔁Nordine Kandilout: Logan Ndenbe
🔁Frédéric Guilbertout: Fode Doucoure
45'
45'
🔁Pape Meissa Baout: Mamadou Fofana
⚽Yannis Nahounou (OG)
46'
Wilitty Younoussa
50'
🔁Wilitty Younoussaout: Balthazar Pierret
52'
64'
Mamadou Fofana
70'
🔁Zakaria Fdaouchout: Noam Obougou
70'
🔁Mamadou Fofanaout: El Hadari Raheriniaina
🔁Dehmaine Tabibouout: Antoine Joujou
70'
🔁Mathieu Cafaroout: Igniatius Ganago
71'
🔁Ryad Hachemout: Ibrahima Sissoko
84'
86'
🔁Enzo Tacafredout: Adrian Dabasse

Match stats — Nantes vs Nancy

57%Possession43%
14Shots5
1On target0
4Corners1

Line-ups

Nantes 4-1-4-1
  • 1M. DupéG
  • 24F. GuilbertD
  • 5L. PerrinD
  • 4S. SowD
  • 98K. AmianD
  • 8J. LepenantM
  • 17D. AssoumaniM
  • 26R. HachemM
  • 23W. YounoussaM
  • 20M. CafaroM
  • 27T. RobinetF
Substitutes
  • 28I. SissokoM
  • 40Yanel ZézéG
  • 75A. CherniD
  • 13F. DoucouréD
  • 7A. JoujouF
  • 37I. GanagoF
  • 19Louis LerouxM
  • 44B. PierretM
  • 78T. TatiD
Coach: Grégory Poirier
Nancy 4-4-2
  • 1E. BasilioG
  • 44E. TacafredD
  • 77Y. NahounouD
  • 21E. MendyD
  • 4N. Fernandez-VelizD
  • 70N. KandilM
  • 6K. KebeM
  • 8W. BouabdelliM
  • 7Z. FdaouchM
  • 9I. HousniF
  • 5P. Meïssa BaF
Substitutes
  • 45C. El HansarM
  • 17Mamadou Fofana IIM
  • 30G. LembetG
  • 22L. NdenbeD
  • 29N. ObougoujacquetF
  • 12El HadariF
  • 14N. Saint-RufD
  • 10A. DabasseF
  • 2H. TavaresD
Coach: O. Tanchot

Form going into Nantes vs Nancy

Nantes

  • D3-3away to Guingamp29 August 2026
  • L2-5Rodez22 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Laval14 August 2026

Nancy

  • W2-0Dunkerque28 August 2026
  • W1-0away to PAU21 August 2026
  • L0-1Montpellier14 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17Nantes6114712-54
10Nancy62134407

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Nantes vs Nancy

  • 7 September 2026Nantes 1–0 NancyLigue 2
  • 5 February 2017Nantes 0–2 NancyLigue 1
  • 10 January 2017Nantes 0–2 NancyCoupe de la Ligue
  • 17 September 2016Nancy 1–1 NantesLigue 1

Leading scorers: Nantes and Nancy

Nantes

  • W. Younoussa2 goals1 assists

Nancy

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.